{"id":"W2888288899","doi":"10.5547/01956574.39.5.dtan","title":"Real Option Valuation in a Gollier/Weitzman World: The Effect of Long-Run Discount Rate Uncertainty","year":2018,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"The Energy Journal","topic":"Capital Investment and Risk Analysis","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":4,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Université du Québec en Outaouais","funders":"","keywords":"Economics; Valuation (finance); Ambiguity; Investment (military); Interest rate; Investment decisions; Econometrics; Financial economics; Capital budgeting; Actuarial science; Microeconomics; Monetary economics; Finance; Debt; Production (economics)","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.002559595,0.0001066977,0.0002445787,0.0002607643,0.0002118194,0.00007954123,0.0002458385,0.00003617994,0.0001776472],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00004581749,0.00005876943,0.0001618645,0.0004505856,0.0001566695,0.0001458846,0.00003602577,0.0001519864,0.00005476208],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.000129703,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00001548023,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00180436,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.004087638,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9989716,0.0001730382,0.0004837608,0.0001318638,0.00006484086,0.0001749295],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9991342,0.0001067136,0.0004596517,0.0002312499,0.00003305984,0.00003513711],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002948394,0.00006390314,0.03889712,0.00000775769,0.0002767488,0.000004308292,0.001907629,0.02163053,0.0002648886,0.9320279,0.0008115048,0.003812822],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.002963319,0.0009364932,0.2190198,0.0001105247,0.0002178541,0.00004074529,0.0003024333,0.139605,0.002950025,0.6245748,0.00874683,0.0005321966],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9932039,0.002751254,0.0009129512,0.0009242667,0.0003499929,0.00006358347,0.000005216667,0.000004737826,0.001784125],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9937482,0.00348291,0.00002187324,0.00006928178,0.0004725681,0.000008728426,0.000009077164,0.00000978104,0.002177553],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.3074532,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.2727665,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01814796901135172,"score_gpt":0.2448528508319336,"score_spread":0.2267048818205819,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}