{"id":"W2888620627","doi":"10.1515/peps-2017-0047","title":"Status or Security: The Case of the Middle East and North Africa Region","year":2018,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Peace Economics Peace Science and Public Policy","topic":"Defense, Military, and Policy Studies","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":2,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Defence Research and Development Canada; Carleton University; Royal Military College of Canada","funders":"","keywords":"Sophistication; Middle East; Arms race; Resource curse; Estimation; Development economics; Economics; Resource (disambiguation); International trade; Political science; Geography; Sociology; Political economy; Natural resource; Computer science","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.000359274,0.0001786036,0.0003213872,0.0009282522,0.0004771149,0.001217169,0.0004284112,0.0003730557,0.004755448],"category_scores_gemma":[0.002310907,0.0001220947,0.0002902104,0.002056622,0.0004497592,0.0009190483,0.0007468456,0.0005868966,0.0003214978],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001083388,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0005819245,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.1376138,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.140661,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9996909,0.0001017465,0.0000105258,0.00004282371,0.00003934593,0.0001147055],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9988077,0.0005137144,0.0004019873,0.0000515385,0.00008088473,0.000144321],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0003741656,0.0001387684,0.9395205,0.0002182464,0.0002695543,0.002640264,0.00409527,0.01715632,0.00129814,0.01253414,0.006144662,0.01561004],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00002734068,0.00004855229,0.9548237,0.000116034,0.00008857021,0.0003265737,0.01668131,0.009614514,0.0006236572,0.002241885,0.0153833,0.0000245839],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9955304,0.0003774693,0.000107709,0.0005107662,0.000004215809,0.000005231076,0.001325702,0.000002112105,0.002136377],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9977378,0.0002551048,0.00009247183,0.00003208472,0.000008325441,0.000008512395,0.001022009,0.000001820721,0.0008420057],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.1376138,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.2736256,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1298500809856379,"score_gpt":0.2528416093545177,"score_spread":0.1229915283688797,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}