{"id":"W2888812679","doi":"","title":"Reflection, Conditionalization and Indeterminacy about the Future","year":2024,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"PhilPapers (PhilPapers Foundation)","topic":"Space Science and Extraterrestrial Life","field":"Physics and Astronomy","cited_by":1,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"Sorbonne Université; Radboud Universiteit; Universitat de Barcelona; University of Leeds; Universität Potsdam; Tsinghua University; Eötvös Loránd Tudományegyetem; Euskal Herriko Unibertsitatea; Queen's University; Universiteit van Tilburg; Eberhard Karls Universität Tübingen; Universität Zürich; Oxford Brookes University; Durham University; Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München; Birkbeck, University of London; University College London; University College Dublin; University of Bristol; University of St Andrews; Queen's University Belfast; University of Central Lancashire; University of Aberdeen; University of Dundee","keywords":"Reflection (computer programming); Indeterminacy (philosophy); Computer science; Epistemology; Philosophy","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.000261799,0.0001931723,0.0001277027,0.0001082451,0.0006922954,0.0006549592,0.0001696753,0.00005345287,0.001745627],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0000116564,0.0001380097,0.00007542922,0.0005271829,0.0002470499,0.0008474083,0.00003391561,0.000206517,0.0002889794],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00005928936,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0001635212,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00007689911,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00003095478,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9987782,0.00006101792,0.000235659,0.0003948336,0.0002832272,0.0002470997],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.999467,0.0001050307,0.0000651905,0.0002050571,0.00006928291,0.00008851015],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00002386588,0.00003564262,0.00990892,0.00002671492,0.0001309426,0.000003159309,0.00137281,0.00007517499,0.003277697,0.8802462,0.003563975,0.1013349],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0008256761,0.0001155602,0.03641685,0.0001309119,0.0001897681,0.0000376736,0.005003286,0.001727892,0.0007233336,0.1316722,0.8223966,0.0007602778],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.6653326,0.002790277,0.007549211,0.09151052,0.01220458,0.001937562,0.0001109059,0.0008410153,0.2177233],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9945933,0.00005009005,0.00006144289,0.0005398979,0.00307139,0.00006543314,0.0001651866,0.00002190233,0.001431313],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.8188326,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9991669,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01321360576786964,"score_gpt":0.2879175945882562,"score_spread":0.2747039888203865,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}