{"id":"W2890007411","doi":"10.3386/w23170","title":"Deviations from Covered Interest Rate Parity","year":2017,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"National Bureau of Economic Research","topic":"Credit Risk and Financial Regulations","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":55,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Bank of Canada","funders":"","keywords":"Parity (physics); Mathematics; Physics; Particle physics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaepi_narrow","insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"category_scores_codex":[0.003148015,0.0002406379,0.000755363,0.0008009164,0.0004149462,0.0003388819,0.001205771,0.0005409932,0.001153321],"category_scores_gemma":[0.002619167,0.0003151084,0.0003186829,0.00009158679,0.000392512,0.0002929134,0.0009151096,0.001031587,0.00143242],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001032713,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0008187949,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.008920711,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.002085856,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9973218,0.00008594829,0.001204848,0.000853574,0.0001461289,0.0003876484],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.996613,0.0006732353,0.001101899,0.0009659969,0.0005111023,0.0001347323],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00002822391,0.00009457341,0.02252485,0.00002975307,0.0001468248,0.000001046976,0.0001091579,0.001092782,0.00001464962,0.9614655,0.01411894,0.0003736944],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0003639932,0.00002122881,0.1480481,0.000056953,0.000005540024,3.080957e-7,0.00001214618,0.004774387,0.00005271448,0.83118,0.0152611,0.000223614],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.4905332,0.003442701,0.001603545,0.006198,0.003883094,0.001435267,0.01607097,0.00006102361,0.4767722],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9931692,0.000773528,0.0004484895,0.00001220471,0.001154447,0.0001359402,0.002074399,0.00003673187,0.002195074],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.502636,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9999301,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.5287591252574085,"score_gpt":0.4863339758683226,"score_spread":0.04242514938908593,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}