{"id":"W2891721089","doi":"10.1111/j.1540-6261.2008.01408.x","title":"Trusting the Stock Market","year":2005,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"The Journal of Finance","topic":"Financial Markets and Investment Strategies","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":17,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"Kellogg's (Canada)","funders":"","keywords":"Stock (firearms); Stock market; Financial economics; Business; Restricted stock; Perception; Economics; Econometrics; Monetary economics; Geography; Psychology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.003105926,0.0002772302,0.0006449525,0.0001231015,0.0002689701,0.000142414,0.001405271,0.0001800153,0.0003216147],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0003138455,0.0001727481,0.000315797,0.000164083,0.0002069432,0.0002105659,0.0003329478,0.00128091,0.0000546252],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0001267828,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0001409499,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00009176789,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00001579186,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9979901,0.00008079597,0.00129274,0.0002052706,0.0001006795,0.0003304259],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9961114,0.0002384203,0.002881605,0.0006370251,0.00009567904,0.00003587645],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0006884036,0.0003489363,0.008645827,0.0003953336,0.0005802349,0.00004835593,0.004329281,0.01649075,0.00002076249,0.4646525,0.4586557,0.045144],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0006000687,0.0002150014,0.1532583,0.0004303881,0.00007942913,0.0001106134,0.000151585,0.004301398,0.00003134964,0.2345753,0.605691,0.0005555991],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.6096058,0.1090361,0.002414581,0.02113109,0.005721377,0.0007876019,0.0002187255,0.00003166492,0.251053],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9675775,0.02133172,0.00115404,0.001067399,0.001918149,0.00001249045,0.000001575111,0.00004368271,0.006893463],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.3579717,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.7044463,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.04324932501017055,"score_gpt":0.2326064792447501,"score_spread":0.1893571542345795,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}