{"id":"W2892929070","doi":"","title":"Monetary Policy: No Surprise Here","year":2007,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Economic Trends","topic":"Global Financial Crisis and Policies","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Inflation (cosmology); Pace; Surprise; Open market operation; Statement (logic); Monetary policy; Quarter (Canadian coin); Economics; Federal funds; Core inflation; Interest rate; Monetary economics; Paragraph; Political science; Inflation targeting; History; Geography; Psychology; Law","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaepi_narrow","insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"category_scores_codex":[0.0005043034,0.0002200514,0.0004555439,0.000497779,0.0001113578,0.00006972816,0.0003030771,0.0001494021,0.00178679],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00003602117,0.0002707152,0.0002267878,0.0002163772,0.00006628822,0.0002232736,0.00005664668,0.0001388182,0.01198388],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0003009281,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00003106369,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00563572,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0007343017,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9982356,0.000006304605,0.0007373225,0.0004109376,0.0000201473,0.0005896207],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9990832,0.00003660359,0.0002616394,0.0004275195,0.00001209542,0.0001790094],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0000590794,0.00007661429,0.1221525,0.00001211962,0.00007295508,0.00001289947,0.0004689329,0.0001419762,0.00001107808,0.7647932,0.09198797,0.02021072],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0003666783,0.00005424672,0.2298669,0.000003381102,0.000003045922,0.000005966529,0.00003371641,0.0001008028,0.00004678151,0.008878198,0.7603325,0.0003077851],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.383987,0.001456327,0.000063918,0.0009621764,0.001057161,0.0000412661,0.0003499892,0.00007142855,0.6120108],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9787989,0.0001851879,0.0002194615,0.0007705648,0.001386962,0.000004712128,0.00003743702,0.00003308885,0.01856366],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.7559149,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9999745,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01653950659737526,"score_gpt":0.2358507124719809,"score_spread":0.2193112058746056,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}