{"id":"W2897061307","doi":"10.5547/01956574.41.1.pale","title":"Did U.S. Consumers Respond to the 2014-2015 Oil Price Shock? Evidence from the Consumer Expenditure Survey","year":2020,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"The Energy Journal","topic":"Energy, Environment, and Transportation Policies","field":"Energy","cited_by":4,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Government of Canada","funders":"","keywords":"Consumer Expenditure Survey; Shock (circulatory); Economics; Survey data collection; Gasoline; Marginal propensity to consume; Oil price; Consumer expenditure; Agricultural economics; Monetary economics; Public economics; Aggregate expenditure","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001141186,0.000324976,0.0002853402,0.00003978134,0.0009776622,0.0002191814,0.00140568,0.0001096185,0.00170787],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0004138043,0.0001574153,0.000177191,0.0002760625,0.0003163122,0.0002277826,0.0001037415,0.000615422,0.0003066906],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00007215433,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0001281347,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01032548,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.01332994,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9966161,0.001301045,0.0005264073,0.0003380909,0.000734987,0.0004834339],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.996692,0.00187145,0.0003134389,0.0006935523,0.00007999084,0.0003495663],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"not_applicable","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.002098062,0.000148218,0.02969824,0.00001174485,0.001550179,0.0001436658,0.03908435,0.1849511,0.01009188,0.01401303,0.7016211,0.01658848],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0005588849,0.00007382096,0.1139003,0.00006171508,0.0001383842,0.00004399495,0.001498084,0.0001480242,0.002681654,0.0004271338,0.880116,0.0003520842],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":"not_applicable","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.7256698,0.0294452,0.004065312,0.2332861,0.002331623,0.0001755802,0.0003552208,0.0001577937,0.004513365],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9708551,0.008637378,0.00009519898,0.01654855,0.0009394381,0.00002765455,0.00004329004,0.00005782559,0.002795527],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.2451853,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9992047,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03672700967532736,"score_gpt":0.2648966984977346,"score_spread":0.2281696888224073,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}