{"id":"W2897775071","doi":"10.1650/condor-18-75.1","title":"Demographic drivers of collapse in an island population of Tree Swallows","year":2018,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Ornithological Applications","topic":"Avian ecology and behavior","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":21,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Guelph","funders":"Bowdoin College; National Science Foundation","keywords":"Population; Juvenile; Demography; Vital rates; Population decline; Biology; Ecology; Population size; Population growth; Immigration; Geography","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0004476686,0.0001190981,0.0002327401,0.0003856268,0.0003891035,0.0005141954,0.000369738,0.0002630474,0.0008427683],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001602274,0.0001856945,0.000223292,0.0002210407,0.0003955961,0.0003405621,0.0005328021,0.0003534386,0.00008473893],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001006008,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0004582786,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.06400549,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.1396068,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9999011,0.00002342616,0.000009309631,0.00003500889,0.00001418471,0.00001700255],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9993498,0.0001460666,0.0002104826,0.00004598479,0.0001225083,0.0001251789],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00005851872,0.00004212346,0.9932439,0.000006270445,0.00003303496,0.00007090842,0.0003130886,0.002033136,0.001832059,0.000148845,0.0001111192,0.002107179],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000003582842,0.00003955629,0.9878607,0.000004417537,0.0000150994,0.00004966607,0.0004547629,0.01121796,0.00007011992,0.0001370648,0.0001402614,0.000006799104],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9997731,0.000009926347,0.00006261086,0.00001122538,4.250153e-7,0.000001646136,0.00003181242,0.000002127573,0.0001070886],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9997554,0.00001215812,0.00007032118,0.000006543284,9.164921e-7,0.000002682502,0.00008900899,0.000001610015,0.00006129954],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.06400549,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.1272659,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01461121863807361,"score_gpt":0.263392855157317,"score_spread":0.2487816365192434,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}