{"id":"W2898328999","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3275394","title":"Political Competitiveness and Fiscal Structure: A Time Series Analysis. Canada, 1870 - 2015","year":2018,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Electoral Systems and Political Participation","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"Carleton University","funders":"","keywords":"Politics; Series (stratigraphy); Time series; Economics; Political science; Statistics; Mathematics; Law","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0007469492,0.0003688626,0.0005961467,0.002178006,0.001645157,0.002185704,0.0009508346,0.00050746,0.005503561],"category_scores_gemma":[0.003484371,0.0002230099,0.0005323267,0.01008249,0.0005604071,0.0005753551,0.0008029504,0.001054424,0.0008596637],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.030479,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.05483207,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.996501,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.9978309,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9993961,0.00002925502,0.00003625943,0.00008080205,0.0002102707,0.0002474022],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9973894,0.0002007769,0.0004522882,0.00005178148,0.001353208,0.000552576],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002869247,0.00008592838,0.9014284,0.0001537114,0.0003071099,0.0002089204,0.001319854,0.004108479,0.0001407969,0.004109066,0.06589014,0.0219608],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00001184684,0.00001962304,0.9721735,0.00006561224,0.00006986313,0.00003459779,0.00141284,0.001782373,0.0001005071,0.0001626149,0.02414773,0.00001892562],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.8284294,0.006513062,0.0004549162,0.006574862,0.0001515078,0.00006045614,0.142609,0.0001329651,0.01507378],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9370162,0.002937045,0.0002654857,0.0002399445,0.00005942352,0.0000241031,0.04139148,0.00003513824,0.01803108],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.030479,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.2211417,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.008258889959522646,"score_gpt":0.2921386498797854,"score_spread":0.2838797599202628,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}