{"id":"W2900431425","doi":"10.1016/s0140-6736(18)32281-5","title":"Measuring progress from 1990 to 2017 and projecting attainment to 2030 of the health-related Sustainable Development Goals for 195 countries and territories: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017","year":2018,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"The Lancet","topic":"Global Public Health Policies and Epidemiology","field":"Business, Management and Accounting","cited_by":552,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development; National Cancer Institute; National Institute of Mental Health; National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute; Université de Limoges; Dipartimento di Medicina e Chirurgia, Università degli Studi di Milano-Bicocca; Lee Kong Chian School of Medicine, Nanyang Technological University; Center for International Health; Research Institute for Endocrine Sciences, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences; Zabol University of Medical Sciences; Russian Academy of Sciences; Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia; Medical Research Council; Weill Cornell Medicine - Qatar; Injury Prevention Research Center; European Commission; University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Public Health England; University of Toronto; Cochrane South Africa; Uniwersytet Opolski; Politechnika Czestochowska; Directorate for Biological Sciences; Debre Markos University; George Institute for Global Health; Emory University; Moscow Institute of Physics and Technology; Ministry of Health of the Russian Federation; Student Research Committee, Tabriz University of Medical Sciences; Frankfurt University of Applied Sciences; Kurdistan University Of Medical Sciences; National Institute of Child Health and Human Development; Lorestan University of Medical Sciences; University of Colombo; Babol University of Medical Sciences; Jomo Kenyatta University of Agriculture and Technology; Ball State University; Addis Ababa University; United Arab Emirates University; University of Gondar; College of Engineering, Michigan State University; Western Sydney University; Tartu Ülikool; Adigrat University; Madras Diabetes Research Foundation; Chungnam National University Hospital; Università degli Studi di Milano; Pomorski Uniwersytet Medyczny W Szczecinie; Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais; National Research University Higher School of Economics; University of Cape Town; I.M. Sechenov First Moscow State Medical University; Academia Sinica; Hospital for Sick Children; Debre Tabor University; Università di Bologna; Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences; United States Agency for International Development; Baqiyatallah University of Medical Sciences; Göteborgs Universitet; Universidade de São Paulo; Dalhousie University; Akademiska Sjukhuset; Universitetet i Oslo; University of New South Wales; Universidad del Valle; Kermanshah University of Medical Sciences; University of Ghana; University of Michigan; Queensland University of Technology; Universidad de Costa Rica; Qazvin University of Medical Sciences; Guilan University of Medical Sciences; Universitair Medisch Centrum Groningen; Syddansk Universitet; Yale University; Jimma University; Wollega University; Banaras Hindu University; National Institutes of Health; National Institute on Aging; Chinese University of Hong Kong; Haramaya University; Weill Cornell Medical College; Xiamen University; Université de Bourgogne; Universiti Sains Malaysia; York University; Tehran University of Medical Sciences and Health Services; Kuwait University; American University of Beirut; Vetenskapsrådet; Max-Planck-Gesellschaft; Swansea University; King Abdulaziz University; Karolinska Institutet; Uppsala Universitet; Augusta University; University of the Western Cape; University of Canberra; Cairo University; Lunds Universitet; South African Medical Research Council; Bundesministerium für Gesundheit; Universität Ulm; University of Embu; Uniwersytet Jagielloński Collegium Medicum; Chalmers Tekniska Högskola; Islamic Azad University; Wellcome Trust; Korea University; Kyung Hee University; U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs; Kosin University; Duke Kunshan University; Tulane University; Arak University of Medical Sciences; European Observatory on Health Systems and Policies; National and Kapodistrian University of Athens; Universitätsklinikum Heidelberg; Nova Southeastern University; Universitetet i Bergen; Simmons College; King Saud University; Shiraz University of Medical Sciences; Ain Shams University; National Drug and Alcohol Research Centre; Friedrich-Schiller-Universität Jena; University of Melbourne; University of Washington; Rijksuniversiteit Groningen; Shanghai Jiao Tong University; Taipei Medical University; University College Cork; Dongguk University; Université de Bordeaux; Public Health Foundation of India; Indian Council of Medical Research; Universidad de Extremadura; Univerzita Komenského v Bratislave; Cardiff University; Shiraz University; King's College London; Birzeit University; NSW Ministry of Health; British Heart Foundation; Lomonosov Moscow State University; University of Queensland; National Institute for Health and Care Research; Mazandaran University of Medical Sciences; University of Alberta; Ahmadu Bello University; University of California, San Diego; Vital Strategies; Universitat Pompeu Fabra; University of Pittsburgh; Tribhuvan University; Tarbiat Modares University; Queensland Brain Institute; Newcastle University; Universitas Negeri Semarang; Sichuan University; Anglia Ruskin University; Queen Elizabeth Hospital Birmingham Charity; McMaster University; New York University Abu Dhabi; Ohio State University; Aix-Marseille Université; Faculty of Medicine and Health, University of Sydney; Universiti Brunei Darussalam; Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia; London School of Economics and Political Science; Central South University; Seattle Children's Research Institute; University of Haifa; Chungnam National University; Universita degli Studi di Bari Aldo Moro; South Australian Health and Medical Research Institute; Samara University; Jordan University of Science and Technology; National Cerebral and Cardiovascular Center; University of West Florida; Carolina Population Center, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Universität Hohenheim; University of Oxford; Ahvaz Jundishapur University of Medical Sciences; Jazan University; University of South Florida; International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Bangladesh; Washington University in St. Louis; Iran University of Medical Sciences; Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation; Bahir Dar University; National Center for Child Health and Development; Aarhus Universitet; Durban University of Technology; Hormozgan University of Medical Sciences; University of Namibia; Maragheh University of Medical Sciences; Mekelle University; University of Dhaka; Universiteit Stellenbosch; Savitribai Phule Pune University; Università degli Studi di Genova; Universiti Malaya; Isfahan University of Medical Sciences; San Diego State University; University College Dublin; McGill University; Oklahoma State University; Seoul National University; Donau-Universität Krems; Northwestern University; Michigan State University; Norwegian Institute of Public Health; Institute of Biomedical Sciences, Academia Sinica; United Nations Population Fund; University of Glasgow; George Mason University; Deakin University; Helsingin Yliopisto; Hebrew University of Jerusalem","keywords":"Sustainable development; Burden of disease; Global health; Economic growth; Development economics; Political science; Environmental health; Medicine; Economics; Health care; Population","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.02917069,0.001289781,0.003524798,0.01274464,0.0005602476,0.001575699,0.00133504,0.0007158383,0.001131028],"category_scores_gemma":[0.04114337,0.001140663,0.01189703,0.01867519,0.0008374733,0.0014767,0.003048765,0.001119526,0.0002883512],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.002829875,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.01260582,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.05997238,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.09158188,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9844855,0.005115296,0.005446939,0.001724918,0.002735927,0.000491438],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9719771,0.00916895,0.008018015,0.002265718,0.008005167,0.0005651954],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"meta_analysis","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0007007335,0.00005192589,0.720146,0.09516671,0.06914897,0.000139737,0.002078631,0.00185873,0.0002915345,0.001185541,0.01942154,0.08980983],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0005623628,0.0004496124,0.7619185,0.08672857,0.1053355,0.0005052864,0.002517058,0.002515431,0.0008745149,0.001814518,0.03648116,0.0002974409],"study_design_candidate":"meta_analysis","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"review","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.218804,0.5206023,0.01540877,0.002658971,0.000696896,0.004372841,0.2333358,0.0003814492,0.003738956],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.6829756,0.1951708,0.02372895,0.001271673,0.0002433486,0.008356575,0.08750629,0.0001482539,0.0005984855],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.05997238,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.1542712,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.0692445813222792,"score_gpt":0.3438871812682855,"score_spread":0.2746425999460064,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). 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