{"id":"W2904128797","doi":"10.22158/jepf.v5n1p1","title":"Dynamic Analysis of Fiscal Policy in the United Kingdom","year":2018,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Journal of Economics and Public Finance","topic":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Economics; Variance decomposition of forecast errors; Real gross domestic product; Fiscal policy; Econometrics; Quarter (Canadian coin); Autoregressive model; Macroeconomics; Geography","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001420141,0.0001361769,0.0006691812,0.001980959,0.00007011298,0.00009463702,0.0004364806,0.00009456721,0.00007587167],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0001480809,0.0001214344,0.000222344,0.0009591868,0.0001979358,0.000412349,0.00004328123,0.0001869764,0.00001199589],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.000105992,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00003919777,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.001825898,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0006879197,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9982699,0.00002981875,0.001198345,0.0001886188,0.0000173995,0.0002959326],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9982047,0.0001304338,0.001278319,0.0003004169,0.00002234722,0.00006378798],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00009942075,0.0002058805,0.2947558,0.00002185009,0.0008567896,0.000004672202,0.002181566,0.01022397,0.000004323618,0.6891044,0.0005652298,0.001976096],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.001021739,0.0003525309,0.5801691,0.00001711786,0.00006424099,0.00004621799,0.0001612205,0.26462,0.000007521751,0.03690324,0.1163812,0.0002558542],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9922833,0.0004815088,0.0002969627,0.004734492,0.0001716798,0.00005902904,0.0001237576,0.000001544651,0.001847656],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9967279,0.00185005,0.0003757125,0.0008142691,0.0001573387,0.000001479169,0.00001006687,0.00000965584,0.00005354665],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.6522011,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.4951953,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.07643432424172752,"score_gpt":0.2593226025317862,"score_spread":0.1828882782900587,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}