{"id":"W2910820167","doi":"10.2196/13142","title":"Google Trends Predicts Present and Future Plague Cases During the Plague Outbreak in Madagascar: Infodemiological Study","year":2019,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"JMIR Public Health and Surveillance","topic":"Data-Driven Disease Surveillance","field":"Medicine","cited_by":53,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Plague (disease); Yersinia pestis; Public health; Outbreak; Disease; Infectious disease (medical specialty); Geography; Environmental health; Virology; Medicine; Biology; Virulence","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":true,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.000387091,0.0004582858,0.0002407992,0.00340483,0.0003141027,0.001111603,0.0003122861,0.0004636987,0.001636446],"category_scores_gemma":[0.002208642,0.0001163335,0.0006477346,0.002782647,0.0002222288,0.001091873,0.0004726811,0.0003464311,0.0003983932],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0007434782,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0004281221,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.07462995,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.05425907,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9997627,0.00004366731,0.00002599901,0.00006320812,0.00005170659,0.00005269705],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9990104,0.0003690679,0.0003060618,0.00006922911,0.0001460335,0.00009916339],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00009298113,0.00007124041,0.9868932,0.00006268505,0.00007200981,0.0002647296,0.0002112413,0.00324219,0.0002157604,0.0001432877,0.001652936,0.007077705],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000008156555,0.0001190492,0.9218052,0.00004134067,0.00008377656,0.0004493895,0.001736298,0.07278341,0.0002985387,0.0001493467,0.002505729,0.00001970893],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.992403,0.0001947212,0.000127658,0.0002055005,0.00001133743,0.00001615776,0.006055103,0.00005652557,0.000929963],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9940488,0.0001380257,0.0002197612,0.0000136735,0.00001567629,0.00001077178,0.005310916,0.000004444692,0.0002379596],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.07462995,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.1483911,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02656316134508614,"score_gpt":0.3134711012194208,"score_spread":0.2869079398743347,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}