{"id":"W2911695323","doi":"10.1111/afe.12327","title":"Impact of climate change on <i>Ostrinia nubilalis</i> (Lepidoptera: Crambidae) phenology and its implications on pest management","year":2019,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Agricultural and Forest Entomology","topic":"Insect-Plant Interactions and Control","field":"Agricultural and Biological Sciences","cited_by":20,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Ouranos; Cégep Saint-Jean-sur-Richelieu; Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada","funders":"Natural Resources Canada; Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada; Green Fund","keywords":"Crambidae; Ostrinia; Voltinism; European corn borer; Climate change; PEST analysis; Phenology; Biology; Climate change scenario; Overwintering; Integrated pest management; Agriculture; Diapause; Representative Concentration Pathways; Agronomy; Ecology; Climate model; Larva; Horticulture","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.00005341028,0.0001815744,0.0002430467,0.00002769884,0.0001188955,0.00002698224,0.0001167865,0.0001081042,0.0002067234],"category_scores_gemma":[0.000004553864,0.00006101314,0.00009108498,0.0001343344,0.00003456416,0.00009996242,0.0000712149,0.0001167989,0.0001095812],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00001999373,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.000001278989,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0002931485,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0002258815,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9990517,0.00004774844,0.0001990103,0.0003166206,0.00007157617,0.0003133307],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9995567,0.0001368177,0.0001161278,0.00005939674,0.00005460891,0.00007640769],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0009238506,0.001043917,0.5182452,0.0000802337,0.0003506336,0.00002407509,0.0003597716,0.00003356599,0.1031666,0.2100995,0.000915197,0.1647574],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0003349198,0.001850322,0.9957656,0.00002727018,0.00002390517,0.00008542661,0.00008341877,0.00001649136,0.00009914128,0.0003392732,0.001229755,0.0001444281],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9891244,0.00009284571,8.807904e-8,0.001261964,0.0001701092,0.0004604138,0.0001321982,0.00002782471,0.008730114],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9983723,0.0006719361,0.000003543558,0.0002869687,0.000128595,0.00007569294,0.0001424331,0.000001025591,0.0003175296],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.4775204,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.2488044,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01500952719797203,"score_gpt":0.2372815549927319,"score_spread":0.2222720277947599,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}