{"id":"W2911695323","doi":"10.1111/afe.12327","title":"Impact of climate change on <i>Ostrinia nubilalis</i> (Lepidoptera: Crambidae) phenology and its implications on pest management","year":2019,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Agricultural and Forest Entomology","topic":"Insect-Plant Interactions and Control","field":"Agricultural and Biological Sciences","cited_by":20,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Ouranos; Cégep Saint-Jean-sur-Richelieu; Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada","funders":"Natural Resources Canada; Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada; Green Fund","keywords":"Crambidae; Ostrinia; Voltinism; European corn borer; Climate change; PEST analysis; Phenology; Biology; Climate change scenario; Overwintering; Integrated pest management; Agriculture; Diapause; Representative Concentration Pathways; Agronomy; Ecology; Climate model; Larva; Horticulture","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0002182958,0.0001624634,0.0001167582,0.0003874787,0.0003452682,0.0004555399,0.0001979919,0.0001739655,0.00213919],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0003880053,0.00004767265,0.0002618938,0.0004476093,0.0001976004,0.000203804,0.0001356776,0.0001840662,0.0001202371],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.004515731,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001205845,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.6744868,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.7528325,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9999055,0.00002153601,0.000003671592,0.00001700201,0.00001810411,0.00003413195],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9996552,0.00004953118,0.00007909348,0.00001533075,0.000141591,0.00005925094],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0004666575,0.0001073735,0.9423305,0.0001327467,0.0002260031,0.0002302282,0.0001751854,0.009070958,0.02341231,0.0003229344,0.0022862,0.02123895],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000002084287,0.00002586335,0.9975423,0.000004536137,0.00001053732,0.00001684568,0.00008511072,0.001329513,0.0003211968,0.00001489922,0.000643244,0.000003911081],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9950117,0.0005004561,0.0001760545,0.0001828395,0.00000942426,0.00001014113,0.001393787,0.00001682933,0.002698889],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9990391,0.0001434973,0.00009476569,0.00002972321,0.000002674454,0.000002759537,0.000321877,0.000002461758,0.0003633692],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.6744868,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.6548605,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01500952719797203,"score_gpt":0.2372815549927319,"score_spread":0.2222720277947599,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}