{"id":"W2912107969","doi":"10.1177/1354068819829207","title":"Shifting parties, rational switchers: Are voters responding to ideological shifts by political parties?","year":2019,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Party Politics","topic":"Electoral Systems and Political Participation","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":15,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Université de Montréal; University of Ottawa","funders":"","keywords":"Ideology; Voting; Political economy; Politics; Perspective (graphical); Political science; Endogeneity; Split-ticket voting; Voting behavior; Positive economics; Economics; Law","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001064799,0.0002272448,0.0003635175,0.0001457114,0.0005222493,0.000234857,0.0002710046,0.0002577187,0.0006209703],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001730835,0.0002164674,0.0001141261,0.0005206294,0.000261883,0.0003052717,0.00007803004,0.0002769426,0.001077429],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0004924218,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0002475108,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.003260437,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0007723868,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9957977,0.0006044538,0.0005727434,0.0004314065,0.0007701539,0.001823551],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9975428,0.0007915988,0.0001313103,0.0002725942,0.0001612571,0.001100429],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00002449223,0.00005602223,0.1735319,0.00002047621,0.00001584019,0.00000302573,0.00157881,0.0000198669,0.0005423235,0.8152332,0.00895043,0.00002360829],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.001315952,0.0007125908,0.1096458,0.00033313,0.0001154317,0.000004397979,0.01218658,0.0008943712,0.005354181,0.09070201,0.7767798,0.001955807],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9617668,0.00004837017,0.0002770069,0.02201104,0.000583714,0.0004893859,0.00006735074,0.0001634382,0.0145929],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9866064,7.327147e-7,0.0001516243,0.004555274,0.0008828266,0.00005969563,0.00002808469,0.00002436871,0.007691063],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.7678294,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9997004,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.06118722002278946,"score_gpt":0.3539744743526952,"score_spread":0.2927872543299058,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}