{"id":"W2914042544","doi":"10.5334/sta.663","title":"Predictive Peacekeeping: Strengthening Predictive Analysis in UN Peace Operations","year":2019,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Stability International Journal of Security and Development","topic":"Peacebuilding and International Security","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":48,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"Economic and Social Research Council","keywords":"Peacekeeping; Political science; Work (physics); Field (mathematics); Public relations; Operations research; Public administration; Engineering","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":true,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.1883098,0.001864466,0.001637729,0.01447151,0.007402439,0.02179908,0.005676366,0.002865339,0.005328221],"category_scores_gemma":[0.3071898,0.001583953,0.001813099,0.01525419,0.01409385,0.03755579,0.01883881,0.009773967,0.001846067],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.007861808,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.03341817,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.02024853,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0210671,"domain_scores_codex":[0.8844773,0.08758504,0.004728888,0.008799105,0.01175281,0.00265688],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.4318964,0.4211749,0.02209605,0.06528521,0.05367193,0.005875429],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"design_other","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0004333942,0.0007324217,0.08923586,0.003045158,0.000391461,0.0004284329,0.04573134,0.01786499,0.001377376,0.170755,0.02791545,0.6420892],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001413482,0.0003694238,0.04459563,0.01179627,0.0004163732,0.0003768832,0.04294984,0.1099772,0.004215383,0.5716461,0.2130684,0.0004471593],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.07712089,0.006151267,0.756709,0.06998798,0.001273732,0.003002116,0.002271972,0.00304788,0.0804351],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.4729205,0.003792828,0.511579,0.003760075,0.0008206459,0.001840267,0.002573997,0.0005890037,0.002123575],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.1883098,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9958895,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01518531084333101,"score_gpt":0.2953418426144191,"score_spread":0.2801565317710881,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}