{"id":"W2915067263","doi":"10.1175/jcli-d-18-0461.1","title":"A Climatological Assessment of Intense Extratropical Cyclones from the Potential Vorticity Perspective","year":2019,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Journal of Climate","topic":"Climate variability and models","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":33,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Pacific Institute for Climate Solutions; University of Victoria; Environment and Climate Change Canada","funders":"University at Albany; European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts; University of Reading","keywords":"Extratropical cyclone; Climatology; Environmental science; Potential vorticity; Tropical cyclone; Northern Hemisphere; Climate model; Storm track; Forecast skill; Atmospheric sciences; Storm; Vorticity; Climate change; Geology; Meteorology; Oceanography; Geography; Vortex","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0007157107,0.0001218828,0.0003755402,0.00001901703,0.0000673464,0.0000291569,0.0003372884,0.00008399379,0.003178522],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0001146278,0.00006975197,0.0002540452,0.00009218059,0.0002444946,0.0002110726,0.0002553739,0.0003532039,0.0000538936],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.000145722,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00002664912,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0001930561,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00003153062,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9982653,0.0002098835,0.0006176364,0.0001842427,0.0004780073,0.0002449295],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9987966,0.000335128,0.0004729221,0.0002406556,0.0000692425,0.00008545359],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0003761328,0.0003952327,0.9477613,0.00001076301,0.00007100438,0.0000406031,0.0007496104,0.003881836,0.0410452,0.005294842,0.0001232823,0.0002501818],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0007621036,0.0003749724,0.9802438,0.00004058455,0.0001048973,0.00009172472,0.001797558,0.007812662,0.0002813641,0.008232504,0.0001422194,0.000115625],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9939187,0.00004062049,0.0009530392,0.001750986,0.0003022688,0.0001431037,0.00002521518,0.0000067989,0.002859327],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9970059,0.0002840882,0.002423387,0.0002076558,0.00006296534,0.000001349964,0.00000108706,0.000006797642,0.00000672537],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.04076384,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9977327,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01412091053833637,"score_gpt":0.2877946296120524,"score_spread":0.2736737190737161,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}