{"id":"W2915671592","doi":"10.34989/san-2016-16","title":"Comparing Forward Guidance and Neo-Fisherianism as Strategies for Escaping Liquidity Traps","year":2021,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Staff Analytical Notes","topic":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Bank of Canada","funders":"","keywords":"Market liquidity; Economics; Liquidity trap; Monetary economics; Liquidity risk","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0002857588,0.0001886181,0.0005682588,0.00008212951,0.0001586065,0.0002752123,0.0001308831,0.0001109135,0.0003909811],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0003516116,0.0002250597,0.0001672893,0.00009856415,0.0001061432,0.000414264,0.00006378614,0.0001212863,0.00005438105],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00005889215,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00004961729,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0005662641,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0001035294,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9984857,0.00001542545,0.0005548015,0.0004755287,0.00002528814,0.0004432165],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9991686,0.0002263556,0.0001426743,0.0002656179,0.00002125279,0.0001755269],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001365074,0.0002228717,0.02427598,0.0002694175,0.0004582697,0.00002317432,0.001362339,0.00722185,0.0002879591,0.963234,0.001321718,0.001185916],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.001010502,0.0002607262,0.008185457,0.00003362747,0.00004705937,0.00002733439,0.0007117522,0.6139889,0.0004359417,0.3580936,0.01662537,0.0005797107],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9567491,0.001263301,0.03115701,0.001083977,0.0001669619,0.0001373533,0.0002155278,0.00003354042,0.009193228],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9957385,0.0001172255,0.003333026,0.0003029015,0.0002167845,0.000007884753,0.0000236051,0.00002221673,0.0002378338],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.6067671,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9177669,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1233979132573259,"score_gpt":0.2789332431824915,"score_spread":0.1555353299251656,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}