{"id":"W2924185988","doi":"10.1093/jisesa/iez023","title":"The Potential Global Distribution and Voltinism of the Japanese Beetle (Coleoptera: Scarabaeidae) Under Current and Future Climates","year":2019,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Journal of Insect Science","topic":"Forest Insect Ecology and Management","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":52,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"Krell Institute","keywords":"Climate change; Range (aeronautics); Voltinism; Biology; Ecology; Species distribution; Niche; Distribution (mathematics); Ecological niche; Representative Concentration Pathways; Global warming; Invasive species; Geography; Climate model; Habitat","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0004420349,0.0003669236,0.0001845055,0.000443916,0.0002657218,0.0007165789,0.0003610383,0.0004542906,0.0006514167],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0007376163,0.0002079033,0.0004930607,0.0005289123,0.0003232361,0.0009543233,0.0004071681,0.0002435262,0.00008428739],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001160326,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0004399241,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.02837853,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.02555854,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9998702,0.00003525971,0.000006271779,0.00003972189,0.00001848558,0.00002997556],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9997991,0.00006452516,0.00005006673,0.0000188561,0.00004254388,0.00002500978],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001840081,0.00006574258,0.3083229,0.0000719189,0.0001499877,0.0004319787,0.0001563072,0.6667989,0.007586159,0.002696632,0.0006349481,0.01290051],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00004949455,0.0001373789,0.1813875,0.0000235519,0.0001363522,0.0002035349,0.0004845588,0.8122887,0.001221804,0.00211937,0.001884413,0.00006326327],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9972101,0.0001116594,0.0008946385,0.0001105986,0.000003403963,0.000003795296,0.0002911403,0.00001864305,0.00135598],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9991785,0.0001098619,0.0003800503,0.0000122415,0.000001847333,0.000004276282,0.0002015806,0.000004104835,0.0001075314],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.02837853,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.05642664,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.004673081808105897,"score_gpt":0.2209115345285032,"score_spread":0.2162384527203973,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}