{"id":"W2937295896","doi":"10.3897/neobiota.45.33366","title":"Introducing AlienScenarios: a project to develop scenarios and models of biological invasions for the 21 st century","year":2019,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"NeoBiota","topic":"Ecology and Vegetation Dynamics Studies","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":22,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"McGill University","funders":"Agence Nationale de la Recherche; Austrian Science Fund; Biodiversa+","keywords":"Futures contract; Species richness; Biodiversity; Alien species; Environmental resource management; Alien; Geography; Ecosystem services; European union; Ecology; Invasive species; Environmental planning; Regional science; Ecosystem; Political science; Business; Biology; Environmental science; International trade","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0002609094,0.00007961993,0.0001246085,0.00002074426,0.0001669835,0.000008038938,0.0001370737,0.0000586557,0.00006361865],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0001706278,0.00004863175,0.0000211611,0.000183649,0.0001303611,0.00005128972,0.0002823758,0.00006778724,0.00002721842],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00003345713,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00001856925,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00007538962,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0004115136,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9993532,0.00002977016,0.0001401167,0.0002448223,0.00006210162,0.0001699806],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9994807,0.0002704372,0.00004817081,0.0001527142,0.00002247934,0.00002544538],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0004179463,0.0004223316,0.7682666,0.0001188832,0.0002569111,0.00000254467,0.02676038,0.08734911,0.05745917,0.01794587,0.01614898,0.02485129],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.002356699,0.001453013,0.7432294,0.0001147955,0.0001074989,0.00003151715,0.007521354,0.1843133,0.001213345,0.004557129,0.05417359,0.0009283191],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9947447,0.0001002777,0.001591364,0.001729921,0.0001416068,0.0009108032,0.00002105402,0.00001266668,0.0007476413],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9931961,0.0001208281,0.005813919,0.0005724045,0.00001440607,0.00004559076,0.000005046214,0.000004802853,0.0002269194],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.09696423,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.1983145,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03881955664081728,"score_gpt":0.2531566766003036,"score_spread":0.2143371199594863,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}