{"id":"W2937295896","doi":"10.3897/neobiota.45.33366","title":"Introducing AlienScenarios: a project to develop scenarios and models of biological invasions for the 21 st century","year":2019,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"NeoBiota","topic":"Ecology and Vegetation Dynamics Studies","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":22,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"McGill University","funders":"Agence Nationale de la Recherche; Austrian Science Fund; Biodiversa+","keywords":"Futures contract; Species richness; Biodiversity; Alien species; Environmental resource management; Alien; Geography; Ecosystem services; European union; Ecology; Invasive species; Environmental planning; Regional science; Ecosystem; Political science; Business; Biology; Environmental science; International trade","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.004115839,0.0009371352,0.0003763925,0.0004752562,0.0008857027,0.002237987,0.001687127,0.001484053,0.007906626],"category_scores_gemma":[0.003487282,0.0003993397,0.001499287,0.0007360006,0.001000441,0.001982936,0.003672431,0.001428114,0.000787762],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.003107832,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00321817,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01961172,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.02276298,"domain_scores_codex":[0.99897,0.0006557271,0.00003175487,0.0001157077,0.0001307031,0.00009594813],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9980837,0.001022035,0.0001254593,0.0002338553,0.0001650654,0.0003699529],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0006270838,0.0005187034,0.012538,0.0006245812,0.0003019197,0.001298669,0.003920429,0.6593475,0.004615832,0.2376861,0.0256111,0.05291013],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0004946471,0.0006865549,0.004929145,0.0003510941,0.0001464076,0.000354907,0.002784033,0.5950638,0.003547112,0.1074561,0.2840311,0.000155128],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.5044456,0.00169423,0.2410609,0.01048713,0.0006994031,0.00185333,0.01563101,0.003235833,0.2208926],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.5786516,0.0017985,0.366198,0.0006509827,0.00008556034,0.002209149,0.01524168,0.0008897704,0.03427472],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.01961172,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.03899515,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03881955664081728,"score_gpt":0.2531566766003036,"score_spread":0.2143371199594863,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}