{"id":"W2942353389","doi":"10.34989/tr-72","title":"The Bank of Canada's New Quarterly Projection Model, Part 1. The Steady-State Model: SSQPM","year":2021,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Bank of Canada Research","topic":"Financial Literacy, Pension, Retirement Analysis","field":"Business, Management and Accounting","cited_by":59,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Bank of Canada","funders":"","keywords":"Projection (relational algebra); Focus (optics); Economics; Economic model; State (computer science); Econometrics; Macroeconomics; Economy; Computer science; Algorithm","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001752764,0.0001833755,0.0002980355,0.0001551818,0.0007820575,0.0002077411,0.0006492705,0.00004785305,0.000120892],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0004410843,0.000126944,0.00009543463,0.001407307,0.0001278504,0.00034296,0.0001889968,0.0003453092,0.00000225125],"about_ca_system_candidate":true,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0003342206,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.01107094,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.9847561,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.9989852,"domain_scores_codex":[0.995766,0.0001065296,0.0005938817,0.0003571696,0.002452993,0.0007233636],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.99678,0.000224273,0.0002669057,0.0007522863,0.001934082,0.00004242021],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"not_applicable","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002957298,0.00008567017,0.00578511,0.0003777411,0.0001215396,0.00005542802,0.0004429156,0.03947734,0.001451865,0.02772611,0.9103218,0.01385878],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000520489,0.00003286374,0.003807683,0.0001377385,0.00008052657,0.00000147188,0.001341681,0.8246222,0.001341018,0.007702354,0.1600811,0.0003308303],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9561288,0.001015387,0.0003123509,0.01626595,0.0005737568,0.001079628,0.00006025594,0.00003319433,0.02453062],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9760633,0.00004017024,0.00006668827,0.000335731,0.0002928893,0.00002798517,0.00003112349,0.00003244207,0.02310974],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.7851449,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9945354,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03746539702872868,"score_gpt":0.2710957318884336,"score_spread":0.2336303348597049,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}