{"id":"W2942621707","doi":"10.3390/jrfm12020077","title":"Dynamic Expectation Theory: Insights for Market Participants","year":2019,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Journal of risk and financial management","topic":"Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":1,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Yardstick; Order (exchange); Economics; Point (geometry); Econometrics; Microeconomics; Computer science; Mathematics","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":true,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.002955094,0.000564187,0.0007616052,0.0009184014,0.0005551989,0.002534713,0.001488009,0.001931322,0.004951882],"category_scores_gemma":[0.01019294,0.0002999267,0.0008122742,0.0007163099,0.002188743,0.005838745,0.001588373,0.001846421,0.0006698109],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001002895,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0008876133,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.001060407,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0004362107,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9990548,0.0004628339,0.00004910529,0.000131166,0.000221654,0.00008047897],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9959387,0.00270924,0.0003890813,0.0002838615,0.0004324113,0.0002467775],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000009711554,0.00001758913,0.000407719,0.00003531521,0.00000949561,0.000075279,0.000303511,0.006480563,0.0003418348,0.9852659,0.0005553879,0.006497698],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000007441504,0.00002593031,0.0002032934,0.00002132731,0.00000489005,0.00007824267,0.0001256658,0.05076141,0.0001100699,0.9452831,0.0033651,0.0000134936],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.04105113,0.001721886,0.9053379,0.009314477,0.0002168888,0.00004486215,0.0001451948,0.00009824031,0.04206936],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9038836,0.00230254,0.08359102,0.000748499,0.0006164291,0.0001504373,0.0001240938,0.00006887769,0.008514359],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.004951882,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.01656574,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.0114232517522193,"score_gpt":0.2069365085724223,"score_spread":0.195513256820203,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}