{"id":"W2944307600","doi":"10.3386/w25830","title":"Trade Blocs and Trade Wars during the Interwar Period","year":2019,"lang":"en","type":"report","venue":"National Bureau of Economic Research","topic":"Historical Economic and Social Studies","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":8,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Simon Fraser University","funders":"Economic and Social Research Council; Japan Center for Economic Research; University of Warwick; London School of Economics and Political Science","keywords":"Interwar period; Economics; Period (music); International trade; Geography; World War II; Art; Archaeology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0006592058,0.000182173,0.0002341952,0.002259295,0.001478527,0.002289392,0.0002028869,0.0005622038,0.005794401],"category_scores_gemma":[0.002449016,0.0001778355,0.0001634145,0.005725389,0.001447452,0.00185558,0.001520217,0.001130545,0.000398356],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.002450904,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0008357339,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.03071832,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.05376251,"domain_scores_codex":[0.999603,0.00006760761,0.00003275051,0.00004597556,0.00005349983,0.0001971612],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9987921,0.0001757233,0.000654871,0.00007121875,0.0001200247,0.000186129],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0008765297,0.0001971914,0.7899949,0.0002308116,0.0001900095,0.001224085,0.03068526,0.003346151,0.001269739,0.08583269,0.01006955,0.07608312],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00001223167,0.00004463819,0.9618735,0.00009400908,0.00002087275,0.00014334,0.007833194,0.000411259,0.0001797794,0.004252308,0.02512099,0.00001377604],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"other","genre_scores_codex":[0.9732547,0.00220329,0.0001529061,0.0009101041,0.00002826892,0.000008877853,0.0007179228,0.000005610342,0.0227182],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9957097,0.001690141,0.00005096374,0.0001157267,0.0000508448,0.000007281171,0.0004720447,0.000006023738,0.001897335],"genre_candidate":"other","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.03071832,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.06107903,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.303818960845245,"score_gpt":0.4255625933788855,"score_spread":0.1217436325336406,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}