{"id":"W2944307600","doi":"10.3386/w25830","title":"Trade Blocs and Trade Wars during the Interwar Period","year":2019,"lang":"en","type":"report","venue":"National Bureau of Economic Research","topic":"Historical Economic and Social Studies","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":8,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Simon Fraser University","funders":"Economic and Social Research Council; Japan Center for Economic Research; University of Warwick; London School of Economics and Political Science","keywords":"Interwar period; Economics; Period (music); International trade; Geography; World War II; Art; Archaeology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaepi_narrow"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.00365081,0.0002706861,0.001015406,0.0005054835,0.0004248791,0.00009497481,0.0005985452,0.0004311027,0.0005227131],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0006814823,0.0002655675,0.0003132696,0.000140165,0.0005979589,0.0001528058,0.000257225,0.0009498055,0.000333571],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00357903,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0006971621,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.001725627,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0001022886,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9972305,0.00006437604,0.001233864,0.0007217683,0.000262812,0.0004866743],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9983434,0.0004993028,0.0006107268,0.0003364006,0.0001044016,0.0001057844],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00006261193,0.0001174202,0.009918839,0.0005408627,0.0008718507,0.000004674366,0.002824628,0.0001148247,0.00000899357,0.8882147,0.09613542,0.001185145],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0008207269,0.0001200292,0.02116178,0.00007634886,0.00001567005,0.00002880939,0.0006285229,0.0003300118,0.00001144697,0.1677132,0.8085433,0.0005501796],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.02713814,0.0154417,0.000005044101,0.009745196,0.001674975,0.0008868069,0.0007067889,0.00002385735,0.9443775],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9713058,0.008546296,0.00002579996,0.00005660164,0.001045886,0.00008978076,0.00005627619,0.00006045261,0.01881307],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.9441677,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9999797,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.303818960845245,"score_gpt":0.4255625933788855,"score_spread":0.1217436325336406,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}