{"id":"W2944317359","doi":"10.1093/jogss/ogz015","title":"The Efficacy of Ethnic Stacking: Military Defection during Uprisings in Africa","year":2019,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Journal of Global Security Studies","topic":"Political Conflict and Governance","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":27,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Université de Montréal; John Abbott College","funders":"","keywords":"Ethnic group; Stacking; Independence (probability theory); Political science; Trustworthiness; Loyalty; Development economics; Political economy; Demographic economics; Sociology; Social psychology; Psychology; Law; Economics; Physics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001427417,0.0001641745,0.0001867149,0.0009331959,0.0007400971,0.0008549058,0.0003343328,0.0003730168,0.002883062],"category_scores_gemma":[0.009207429,0.0001013406,0.0001269089,0.0007179121,0.001024247,0.000682445,0.001169022,0.0006131454,0.0001782783],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0004810739,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0002689263,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.003232326,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.006210379,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9990559,0.0004966109,0.00005076525,0.00006423721,0.00009554636,0.0002370011],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9847755,0.004285936,0.008839576,0.0006130991,0.000458159,0.001027773],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000156983,0.00006917633,0.9839444,0.00002620974,0.00004098092,0.00015529,0.002727603,0.0002369903,0.0003922257,0.0005418428,0.0002268496,0.01148148],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000002282125,0.00007473645,0.9926727,0.00002549122,0.00001159797,0.00009485445,0.006034116,0.0003381403,0.0001348484,0.000241773,0.0003641931,0.000005233359],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9988576,0.00007663883,0.00004279696,0.00007679254,0.00000260683,0.000002096263,0.00002275024,6.275567e-7,0.0009181197],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.99988,0.00002792323,0.00001359474,0.000002918107,0.000002777407,7.017443e-7,0.00001051878,2.459575e-7,0.00006139295],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.003232326,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.009644866,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03681524624933467,"score_gpt":0.358048145025625,"score_spread":0.3212328987762903,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}