{"id":"W2944367981","doi":"10.1016/s0140-6736(18)32744-2","title":"Global alcohol exposure between 1990 and 2017 and forecasts until 2030: a modelling study","year":2019,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"The Lancet","topic":"Substance Abuse Treatment and Outcomes","field":"Medicine","cited_by":884,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"Centre for Addiction and Mental Health; Public Health Ontario; University of Toronto","funders":"Centre for Addiction and Mental Health","keywords":"Environmental health; Alcohol; Environmental science; Medicine; Biology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001824592,0.000876228,0.0009321318,0.0009664039,0.0003448187,0.001425386,0.001708257,0.001893609,0.007384079],"category_scores_gemma":[0.004874002,0.0007810296,0.003210769,0.001774819,0.0005938805,0.001503476,0.001277361,0.002364039,0.001959417],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.002818889,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001811233,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.2082866,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.122742,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9993568,0.0002377986,0.00003581372,0.0001213601,0.00003489699,0.0002132353],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9970924,0.001610875,0.0005682764,0.0001740956,0.0002733071,0.0002810941],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00230949,0.0005921207,0.2434304,0.0005286491,0.002570865,0.0007890332,0.0006863149,0.7008792,0.0004495205,0.01100331,0.02748901,0.009272057],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0009024655,0.0007545396,0.1673977,0.0003527821,0.00155982,0.0004020434,0.002216168,0.797806,0.0005066587,0.01290045,0.01496078,0.0002407164],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9567478,0.001125411,0.003594523,0.003938335,0.0001576243,0.00005888968,0.02964043,0.0002059192,0.004531045],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.980121,0.000501741,0.000919684,0.0002399766,0.00006154281,0.0000799329,0.01337422,0.00005824978,0.004643601],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.2082866,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.4141484,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.08574753451774758,"score_gpt":0.3229047611030518,"score_spread":0.2371572265853042,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}