{"id":"W2945850595","doi":"10.7202/1059501ar","title":"COSTLY FALSE BELIEFS: WHAT SELF-DECEPTION AND PRAGMATIC ENCROACHMENT CAN TELL US ABOUT THE RATIONALITY OF BELIEFS","year":2018,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Les ateliers de l éthique","topic":"Epistemology, Ethics, and Metaphysics","field":"Arts and Humanities","cited_by":3,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"Université de Fribourg; Universität Basel; Schweizerischer Nationalfonds zur Förderung der Wissenschaftlichen Forschung; National Science Foundation","keywords":"Irrationality; Rationality; Dilemma; Irrational number; Deception; Self-deception; Psychology; Social psychology; Epistemology; Positive economics; Philosophy; Economics; Mathematics","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":true,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.01882696,0.0007197751,0.001321592,0.002174224,0.002900845,0.008529176,0.002119936,0.009660527,0.004825342],"category_scores_gemma":[0.07452972,0.0006016627,0.001362464,0.001142164,0.04229395,0.03019824,0.004295409,0.007453098,0.0006482213],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.002319633,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0014491,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00194854,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.001112091,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9842435,0.008407963,0.0007965094,0.001574129,0.003437449,0.001540398],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9120919,0.06565303,0.008976223,0.009246068,0.003039774,0.0009931226],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001413921,0.00004215521,0.003867148,0.0002415919,0.00008476662,0.0006345896,0.009163124,0.0009227103,0.000331738,0.9700949,0.001125875,0.01335012],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0000249106,0.00002701661,0.001499338,0.0001612323,0.00002985856,0.0003963767,0.00213902,0.001262617,0.0003822318,0.9897218,0.004321504,0.00003402661],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.3139141,0.01721657,0.212399,0.1886863,0.001207823,0.0001683616,0.000391787,0.0001925441,0.2658235],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.987165,0.00160758,0.006695617,0.002592103,0.0002527588,0.00006076482,0.0000514381,0.00002917597,0.001545565],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.01882696,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.09956765,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03376995306588552,"score_gpt":0.2698096644149186,"score_spread":0.2360397113490331,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}