{"id":"W2949204642","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2930460","title":"Private Information in Futures Markets: An Experimental Study","year":2017,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Experimental Behavioral Economics Studies","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":1,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"University of Ottawa","funders":"","keywords":"Futures contract; Financial economics; Business; Private information retrieval; Economics; Computer science; Computer security","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["sts"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.002148849,0.0001119536,0.0001461356,0.0000941901,0.002152493,0.0004814714,0.0005982619,0.00005084466,0.00004138308],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00005921976,0.0001100204,0.00004455625,0.00003546115,0.0001450025,0.002814546,0.0001053809,0.0006183669,0.0000244318],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001886082,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0005584611,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.003326668,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.03448724,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9980264,0.0001476622,0.0002734045,0.0001196914,0.0002232144,0.001209632],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9994209,0.000009484931,0.0002534919,0.0002078518,0.00002950592,0.0000787115],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"qualitative","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0003458705,0.001837658,0.5944261,0.000001847642,0.0001066812,0.00001218192,0.1531884,0.000008573951,0.0008711797,0.2191477,0.00007929291,0.02997453],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.002288812,0.001178861,0.1202542,0.00001176219,0.00001451134,0.0000159276,0.8480549,0.00001272805,0.0005731114,0.02507609,0.002143967,0.0003751418],"study_design_candidate":"qualitative","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9916209,0.0004423335,0.00000562698,0.0003361845,0.0003483181,0.0002955486,8.817204e-7,0.00001966198,0.00693057],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9989589,0.0005727342,0.00003231896,0.00003751546,0.0002017676,0.00002179603,0.000001113636,0.000007630069,0.0001662455],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.6948665,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9991466,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02177005175550201,"score_gpt":0.3500591788259967,"score_spread":0.3282891270704947,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}