{"id":"W2950166188","doi":"10.1177/1745691619847201","title":"Infant Statisticians: The Origins of Reasoning Under Uncertainty","year":2019,"lang":"en","type":"review","venue":"Perspectives on Psychological Science","topic":"Cognitive and developmental aspects of mathematical skills","field":"Mathematics","cited_by":40,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Waterloo","funders":"Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada","keywords":"Heuristics; Probabilistic logic; Inference; Inductive reasoning; Ask price; Psychology; Computer science; Cognitive psychology; Empirical evidence; Cognition; Contradiction; Cognitive science; Artificial intelligence; Epistemology; Data science","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001647354,0.0004528225,0.001371906,0.0001794217,0.0002539557,0.00009391861,0.001355191,0.0001630762,0.0005288685],"category_scores_gemma":[0.004606746,0.0002142741,0.0003653955,0.001323306,0.001851899,0.0000983395,0.0002619043,0.0006300882,0.0003070926],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0006947566,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0002193864,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00001674042,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.000003225407,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9964536,0.0002107112,0.0006832537,0.001094462,0.00101216,0.0005457739],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9939349,0.004355664,0.0005427006,0.0007895065,0.0002390194,0.0001381856],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00001252034,0.000510805,8.224645e-7,0.0007304312,0.00005457264,0.000006169206,0.0006111129,0.000001038831,0.000001358159,0.8072849,0.0003596852,0.1904266],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0006668361,0.001384266,0.0003741659,0.02303614,0.0007209535,0.0001235904,0.008554217,0.00004342054,0.000007334334,0.6728952,0.2905453,0.001648563],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"review","genre_gemma":"review","genre_scores_codex":[0.0007689247,0.9223838,0.003769162,0.0002854469,0.0006759044,0.002704888,0.000163602,0.000138445,0.06910978],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.004361647,0.9866493,0.008239493,0.000175959,0.00009147607,0.00009223948,0.000004121586,0.0000338458,0.0003519208],"genre_candidate":"review","genre_consensus":"review","teacher_disagreement_score":0.2901856,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.8737842,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1340437086215408,"score_gpt":0.467126666270517,"score_spread":0.3330829576489762,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}