{"id":"W2951605106","doi":"10.1101/502443","title":"Emergence of the East-Central-South-African genotype of Chikungunya virus in Brazil and the city of Rio de Janeiro may have occurred years before surveillance detection","year":2018,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"bioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory)","topic":"Mosquito-borne diseases and control","field":"Medicine","cited_by":2,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Institute of Infection and Immunity","funders":"National Institutes of Health; Fundação Oswaldo Cruz; Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung; Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior; Deutscher Akademischer Austauschdienst; Fundação Carlos Chagas Filho de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado do Rio de Janeiro; Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico; European Commission","keywords":"Arbovirus; Chikungunya; Outbreak; Virology; Genotype; Dengue fever; Dengue virus; Virus; Geography; Demography; Biology; Genetics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0005833838,0.0001751874,0.0002158119,0.0004451925,0.0004760272,0.0006976061,0.0002104351,0.0002638655,0.0009553032],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001923986,0.0001452526,0.000250476,0.0004825189,0.0004618532,0.0004098518,0.0003285078,0.000535729,0.00008611103],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0007774605,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001014111,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.07538044,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.1299714,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9996586,0.00008426658,0.00003461745,0.00008404812,0.00005056696,0.000088015],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9990833,0.0001468696,0.0003801403,0.00007967086,0.0002233413,0.00008671678],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00004096563,0.00001939211,0.9866927,0.00007058301,0.00006567469,0.0004148279,0.001233789,0.0001022985,0.003174053,0.0005344631,0.00035104,0.007300224],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000007340094,0.00003388223,0.992729,0.0001101273,0.00004192492,0.0007555427,0.001971465,0.0003644337,0.0006143221,0.0003150069,0.003046365,0.00001062273],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9927995,0.001744375,0.0008179627,0.0009441339,0.00002512216,0.0000363751,0.000392695,0.00001539423,0.003224428],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9991682,0.0002864375,0.0002330073,0.00008491555,0.000005246506,0.000005849781,0.000123466,0.000002088593,0.0000908513],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.07538044,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.1498834,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.008990926101674304,"score_gpt":0.2259786407085433,"score_spread":0.216987714606869,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}