{"id":"W2953933551","doi":"10.1002/env.2593","title":"Multiple change‐point models for time series","year":2019,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Environmetrics","topic":"Statistical Methods and Inference","field":"Mathematics","cited_by":3,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Western University","funders":"","keywords":"Statistic; Statistics; Bayes' theorem; Test statistic; Bayes factor; Mathematics; Series (stratigraphy); Asymptotic analysis; Statistical hypothesis testing; Econometrics; Point estimation; Bayesian probability","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.02242279,0.001045636,0.001962455,0.003529041,0.0006221119,0.002657005,0.003595563,0.002527556,0.004948556],"category_scores_gemma":[0.06798179,0.0006798442,0.002199077,0.003031136,0.003235936,0.003610721,0.002416909,0.003484249,0.0007338295],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001746842,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0007949769,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00340101,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.002036581,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9874312,0.006527317,0.0005216883,0.002251261,0.002678009,0.000590486],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.953105,0.03742314,0.003986443,0.002359187,0.002604496,0.0005217747],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002148894,0.00013849,0.01220898,0.000314403,0.0005204891,0.0004931286,0.0005650723,0.2739044,0.0006371852,0.6711735,0.00294856,0.03688082],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0000248343,0.00008532131,0.002517206,0.00004473824,0.0000499245,0.00009931844,0.00008944096,0.7270176,0.000202045,0.2673422,0.00249147,0.00003591865],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.04597227,0.001261831,0.9471133,0.001418036,0.0003215819,0.000154901,0.0004469157,0.0002809342,0.003030248],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.8824147,0.001131825,0.1054673,0.0003697311,0.0005121323,0.0007156838,0.0007614361,0.0001378907,0.008489182],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.02242279,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.1185845,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1301761051207345,"score_gpt":0.3216197700430882,"score_spread":0.1914436649223537,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}