{"id":"W2968554373","doi":"10.1257/aer.20200125","title":"An Experiment in Candidate Selection","year":2021,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"American Economic Review","topic":"Electoral Systems and Political Participation","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":27,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"International Development Research Centre","funders":"","keywords":"NOMINATE; Nomination; Public good; Politics; Odds; Democracy; Sierra leone; Loyalty; Value (mathematics); Economics; Political science; Public economics; Public administration; Law; Microeconomics; Logistic regression; Development economics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0003317868,0.00004665568,0.0001951357,0.00001467286,0.00005877496,0.00002408696,0.00005310301,0.00001255324,0.0005665729],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00003676121,0.0000482175,0.00003033421,0.0001376051,0.00006786636,0.0001167077,0.000004825113,0.00003727321,0.000145621],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0003095737,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0002193096,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.05539806,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.06123732,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9990638,0.0003413004,0.0002110318,0.0001464139,0.00004370801,0.000193707],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9996882,0.00002670032,0.00007275795,0.00009554756,0.00001705496,0.00009970301],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"design_other","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00001275242,0.0003295431,0.30978,0.0004589939,0.00005412767,0.00001700497,0.004815378,0.0001398786,0.001763571,0.2539003,0.01122082,0.4175076],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0002207364,0.0001819936,0.03850039,0.000711437,0.00003096131,0.000004453496,0.001123748,0.0003285593,0.001076305,0.001169814,0.9561958,0.000455835],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9565832,0.009677563,0.00003347348,0.008409102,0.0002259402,0.0003632957,0.000002756957,0.00004370519,0.02466095],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.992362,0.006040153,0.00007515892,0.001138184,0.0001010501,0.00004728422,0.000005280353,0.000004426029,0.0002264293],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.944975,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9558926,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03652956336183136,"score_gpt":0.4052023088029646,"score_spread":0.3686727454411332,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}