{"id":"W2969413110","doi":"10.1080/02692171.2019.1649858","title":"Theory, economic policy, and evidence","year":2019,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"International Review of Applied Economics","topic":"Economic Theory and Institutions","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Kellogg's (Canada)","funders":"","keywords":"Economics; Work (physics); Positive economics; Macroeconomics; Public economics; Neoclassical economics; Applied economics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"category_scores_codex":[0.001097528,0.0001540862,0.0005115427,0.0001949094,0.00003476582,0.00003683899,0.0004350343,0.00006443226,0.002377199],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0001322783,0.000185972,0.0001317097,0.00004176877,0.0001216972,0.0003900438,0.0001435669,0.00009765725,0.002944349],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.000273254,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00008441413,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00004137024,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.000004827004,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9984995,0.000008284747,0.0009069733,0.0004092601,0.00001384843,0.0001622027],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9986984,0.0002102113,0.000626459,0.000380365,0.0000170527,0.00006755108],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00002609487,0.00001430846,0.0011662,0.00039378,0.00007374509,6.35967e-8,0.00003679857,0.000213998,0.000008816086,0.9954413,0.000165888,0.002459013],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0004763035,0.00003868186,0.002113729,0.001117464,0.00001222524,0.00001237419,0.00003540698,0.0006297496,0.0002027559,0.7075586,0.2874439,0.0003588007],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.2943866,0.02193358,0.0003006177,0.001981569,0.001055719,0.0005370129,0.0002505451,0.00002660206,0.6795278],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9056754,0.09056649,0.0004228964,0.002110783,0.0001948507,0.00003278526,0.00001871328,0.00001895251,0.000959195],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.6785686,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9985347,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02477491714041103,"score_gpt":0.2620416843514575,"score_spread":0.2372667672110465,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}