{"id":"W2969635519","doi":"10.1016/s2352-3018(19)30196-1","title":"Global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and mortality of HIV, 1980–2017, and forecasts to 2030, for 195 countries and territories: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2017","year":2019,"lang":"en","type":"review","venue":"The Lancet HIV","topic":"HIV/AIDS Research and Interventions","field":"Medicine","cited_by":586,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases; Medical Research Council; Weill Cornell Medicine - Qatar; Sanofi Pasteur; School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town; Food Innovation Center, Ohio State University; Qatar National Research Fund; Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; National Institutes of Health; Cochrane South Africa; Seqirus; University of Health and Allied Sciences; Universitair Ziekenhuis Antwerpen; NIH Clinical Center; Moscow Institute of Physics and Technology; Western Sydney University; Ambo University; Frankfurt University of Applied Sciences; I.M. Sechenov First Moscow State Medical University; Kurdistan University Of Medical Sciences; Lorestan University of Medical Sciences; Alborz University of Medical Sciences; Hawassa University; Mansoura University; University of Social Welfare and Rehabilitation Sciences; Weill Cornell Medical College; Xiamen University; Research Institute for Endocrine Sciences, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences; Alfaisal University; University of Gondar; Universidad del Valle; Arak University of Medical Sciences; University of Cape Town; Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red de Salud Mental; Qazvin University of Medical Sciences; University of Tabriz; Baki Dövlət Universiteti; Institute for Research in Fundamental Sciences; Ministério da Ciência, Tecnologia e Ensino Superior; University of California, Irvine; Universidade Federal de Goiás; University of the Philippines; Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México; Debre Markos University; Universität Bielefeld; Babol University of Medical Sciences; Universidade de São Paulo; University of Ghana; Kermanshah University of Medical Sciences; Servier; Birjand University of Medical Sciences; United Arab Emirates University; Emory University; Ahvaz Jundishapur University of Medical Sciences; Haramaya University; University College Cork; Taipei Medical University; Inyuvesi Yakwazulu-Natali; Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation; Universiteit Gent; Tabriz University of Medical Sciences; Leibniz-Gemeinschaft; University of Namibia; Maragheh University of Medical Sciences; Simon Fraser University; Ain Shams University; Shiraz University of Medical Sciences; Erasmus Universitair Medisch Centrum Rotterdam; South African Medical Research Council; Bundesministerium für Gesundheit; Universidad Autónoma de Sinaloa; Cardiff University; National Research Foundation; University of Calcutta; Banaras Hindu University; Madda Walabu University; Institució Catalana de Recerca i Estudis Avançats; National Drug and Alcohol Research Centre; Sharif University of Technology; Yonsei University; University of South Carolina; Seoul National University; North-West University; King Saud University; National Health and Medical Research Council; Ministry of Education, Science and Technology; Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung; Syddansk Universitet; Harvard University; Jimma University; National Institute on Aging; Fonds National de la Recherche Luxembourg; Flinders University; Universiteit Utrecht; National and Kapodistrian University of Athens; Cairo University; Monash University; Public Health Agency; University of Pretoria; Lunds Universitet; Ilam University of Medical Sciences; National Institute of Child Health and Human Development; James Cook University; University of Toronto; Shiraz University; King's College London; Imperial College London; National Institute on Drug Abuse; Birmingham City University; Muhimbili University of Health and Allied Sciences; Kasturba Medical College, Manipal; Mekelle University; University of Dhaka; Universiteit Stellenbosch; Wollega University; Trường Đại học Duy Tân; Kerman University of Medical Sciences; Addis Ababa University; Department of Science and Technology, Ministry of Science and Technology, India; National Institute of Mental Health; Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation; Tehran University of Medical Sciences and Health Services; Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia; Aksum University; Bahir Dar University; Sheffield Hallam University; Australian Government; Indivior; Ilam University; Saint Paul's Hospital Millennium Medical College; Health Canada; London School of Economics and Political Science; Public Health Agency of Canada; Kaiser Permanente; Ministry of Health and Medical Education; Mazandaran University of Medical Sciences; George Mason University; Loma Linda University; Human Sciences Research Council; York University; Public Health England; Public Health Foundation of India; Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences; An-Najah National University; University College London; Johns Hopkins University; Wellcome Trust; Queensland Health; Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina; University of West Florida; Cancer Research Institute; Rafsanjan University of Medical Sciences; Hamadan University of Medical Sciences; Uniwersytet Łódzki; Helsingin Yliopisto; Universidade de Lisboa; Ottawa Hospital Research Institute; Samara University; Jordan University of Science and Technology; Università degli Studi di Sassari; McMaster University; Sveučilište u Zagrebu; San Diego State University; Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare; Amarin Corporation; Curtin University of Technology; Wuhan University; Ateneo de Manila University; University of Washington; European and Developing Countries Clinical Trials Partnership; Damietta University; Sanofi; Tarbiat Modares University; Universitas Negeri Semarang; Ohio State University; Fogarty International Center; Trường Đại học Nguyễn Tất Thành; Karolinska Institutet; United Nations Population Fund; University of Warwick; Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development; National Center of Neurology and Psychiatry; Alexander von Humboldt-Stiftung; Amirkabir University of Technology; Applied Molecular Biosciences Unit; Iran University of Medical Sciences; Jazan University","keywords":"Medicine; Incidence (geometry); Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV); Environmental health; Global health; Developing country; Systematic review; MEDLINE; Public health; Economic growth; Virology; Pathology","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.01120631,0.0009229559,0.0018566,0.007845482,0.0003705549,0.0008080509,0.0009170587,0.0004528031,0.001152266],"category_scores_gemma":[0.01394733,0.0009850205,0.009883854,0.01045711,0.0004330392,0.0008752021,0.001603725,0.0007010865,0.0003089501],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.002213737,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.007665646,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.1071895,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.1536327,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9956399,0.001624629,0.00114626,0.0006041545,0.0008100984,0.0001749023],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9925614,0.002571993,0.002203277,0.0008237132,0.001652569,0.0001869744],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0008488075,0.00004994959,0.7974483,0.03541348,0.0514984,0.000233983,0.001327822,0.005938762,0.0003205011,0.001454404,0.03244912,0.07301655],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0005498967,0.0003119108,0.8457732,0.0296474,0.07495897,0.001035744,0.00149956,0.008403929,0.0008247885,0.002202834,0.03454306,0.0002487703],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"review","genre_scores_codex":[0.3643911,0.2572629,0.01530861,0.001741422,0.0003976978,0.001946572,0.355109,0.0005521366,0.003290646],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.7134885,0.1143069,0.02425583,0.0004393623,0.0001469832,0.003620752,0.1424501,0.0001748713,0.001116765],"genre_candidate":"review","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.1071895,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.2131312,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1051813283919881,"score_gpt":0.4254388131653223,"score_spread":0.3202574847733342,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). 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