{"id":"W2969975323","doi":"10.2196/13085","title":"Fast Prediction of Deterioration and Death Risk in Patients With Acute Exacerbation of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Using Vital Signs and Admission History: Retrospective Cohort Study","year":2019,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"JMIR Medical Informatics","topic":"Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) Research","field":"Medicine","cited_by":10,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"Sun Yat-sen University","keywords":"Medicine; Exacerbation; COPD; Retrospective cohort study; Medical record; Acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; Vital signs; Emergency medicine; Internal medicine; Medical history; Cart; Intensive care medicine; Surgery","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":true,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0002747491,0.0001833202,0.0004383727,0.0002533909,0.0000399157,0.000007318659,0.00006448329,0.0001161973,0.00009577584],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0001121639,0.0001475682,0.00003408508,0.0001962921,0.0002142872,0.0005748538,0.0001135737,0.0003284774,9.085833e-7],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001461648,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0006862693,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00005710768,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.000005584687,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9976494,0.00008674053,0.0005915358,0.0002184681,0.001252293,0.0002015607],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9986508,0.00004514248,0.0004087797,0.0002574791,0.0002715551,0.0003662485],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.001396248,0.0006822028,0.9918829,0.0006958534,0.000108904,0.00001380889,0.001747253,0.00001622764,0.0002045702,0.00001009225,0.000003420065,0.0032385],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.003673025,0.001528143,0.9415113,0.0004000413,0.0002272361,0.000009027045,0.001248441,0.05124243,0.00002233221,0.00002564013,0.00000363059,0.0001086987],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.996446,0.0001086401,0.0002153168,0.000006936195,0.00006633559,0.00288843,0.0001281142,0.00001631798,0.0001238835],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.999509,0.00004221245,0.000184405,0.000006048107,0.0000288232,0.00004752709,0.0001457801,0.0000179996,0.00001821947],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.0512262,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.6017656,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.009975354634674246,"score_gpt":0.2635065644341899,"score_spread":0.2535312097995157,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}