{"id":"W2971201714","doi":"10.3390/f10090748","title":"Dynamics and Management of Rising Outbreak Spruce Budworm Populations","year":2019,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Forests","topic":"Fire effects on ecosystems","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":46,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Ministère des Ressources naturelles et des Forêts; Natural Resources Canada; Canadian Forest Service","funders":"","keywords":"Spruce budworm; Biology; Population density; Outbreak; Density dependence; Fecundity; Population; Ecology; Larva; Demography; Tortricidae","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.000259876,0.0001381285,0.0001266649,0.0003444021,0.0005429734,0.0004740705,0.0005836572,0.0001956706,0.0004570943],"category_scores_gemma":[0.000394544,0.00007173257,0.0001038948,0.0002129539,0.0003743839,0.0001453534,0.0002191456,0.0002763012,0.00008349756],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.003497218,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001773679,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.351175,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.6306077,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9998296,0.00002302059,0.000008573777,0.00003571079,0.0000456152,0.00005734396],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9996141,0.0000214774,0.0001120783,0.00001356401,0.000112819,0.0001258706],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002816426,0.0002539297,0.8352084,0.0001090922,0.00005254718,0.0004839885,0.000991144,0.003922027,0.1139564,0.0003037602,0.001111385,0.04332567],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00001110118,0.0003736122,0.9913982,0.00001783258,0.00002409741,0.00009392098,0.000754925,0.003080097,0.003070331,0.00006971499,0.001095062,0.00001102105],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9989888,0.0001146994,0.0001508953,0.00006169647,0.000001325665,0.0000132066,0.00004861202,0.00001358078,0.0006072367],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9992234,0.00009540157,0.0002984928,0.00002692457,0.000001305949,0.000005828914,0.00008955766,9.085657e-7,0.0002581095],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.351175,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.6982619,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.00698467668069819,"score_gpt":0.2260659765768089,"score_spread":0.2190812998961107,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}