{"id":"W2971632735","doi":"10.1016/j.jtbi.2019.109993","title":"Revisiting the “fallacy of averages” in ecology: Expected gain per unit time equals expected gain divided by expected time","year":2019,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Journal of Theoretical Biology","topic":"Evolutionary Game Theory and Cooperation","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":7,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"Wilfrid Laurier University","funders":"Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada; Canadian Network for Research and Innovation in Machining Technology, Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada; European Commission","keywords":"Mathematics; Stochastic game; Outcome (game theory); Statistics; Mathematical economics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.004014292,0.0001833508,0.0005944712,0.0001818921,0.000205407,0.00003120288,0.0006174553,0.000323725,0.00949894],"category_scores_gemma":[0.003215715,0.0001261161,0.0001697006,0.0004552491,0.001244302,0.0001771972,0.0001026676,0.0004980169,0.0002411185],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0001382018,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0002217576,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00002316685,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.000005979248,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9925909,0.005521425,0.000913367,0.0002322203,0.0002862722,0.0004557973],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9954124,0.003289166,0.0005491173,0.0002320657,0.0003984951,0.0001187408],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0007625732,0.0001959223,0.009603024,0.000009739088,0.0001198469,0.00001232072,0.007264351,0.0001086174,0.2428516,0.7372514,0.0008244287,0.000996188],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.009971728,0.00547817,0.02858468,0.0009459659,0.0004190472,0.0002251556,0.03543536,0.005878218,0.02488344,0.8757967,0.01004409,0.002337425],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9845779,0.0003729755,0.0002677588,0.005815232,0.0001761827,0.0003035668,0.00001355512,0.00002665866,0.00844616],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9980333,0.00009252096,0.0001617901,0.0003310429,0.0003471577,0.000006198758,0.00002098353,0.00001394362,0.0009930971],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.2179682,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9914065,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.00949378599943975,"score_gpt":0.2883803860716155,"score_spread":0.2788866000721758,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}