{"id":"W2975992381","doi":"10.1101/780627","title":"Seasonal influenza circulation patterns and projections for September 2019 to September 2020","year":2019,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"bioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory)","topic":"Influenza Virus Research Studies","field":"Medicine","cited_by":6,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"Institute of Infection and Immunity; U.S. Air Force; Università degli Studi di Perugia; U.S. Department of State; Aristotle University of Thessaloniki; University of Ghana; Università degli Studi di Parma; Department of Health, Vermont; Ministry of Public Health; Medical Center, University of Pittsburgh; Arizona Department of Health Services; Università degli Studi di Sassari; Universität Wien; Università degli Studi di Genova; Erasmus Medisch Centrum; Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Haukeland Universitetssjukehus; Florida Department of Health; Texas Department of State Health Services; NorthShore University HealthSystem; University of Pittsburgh; Washington State University; Akershus Universitetssykehus; Francis Crick Institute; Università degli Studi di Firenze; Universiti Malaya; Universidad de Valladolid; Utah Department of Health; U.S. Department of Health and Human Services","keywords":"Subclade; Clade; Geography; Climatology; Biology; Phylogenetic tree; Geology; Genetics","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0004946459,0.0005243191,0.0001900971,0.0007360571,0.0003435374,0.000870881,0.0003895639,0.0006252185,0.00543149],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0008956391,0.0001467336,0.0007782558,0.0006747732,0.000142186,0.000835876,0.0006361667,0.0006136918,0.003695691],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001505976,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0007715777,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.03982658,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.04502475,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9998088,0.0000249868,0.0000188281,0.00003682794,0.00005951626,0.00005099889],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9996164,0.00001667081,0.00007433676,0.00001275106,0.0001944684,0.00008535547],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.001867249,0.0003190358,0.5899737,0.0007347726,0.0005304235,0.001373638,0.0003933999,0.04985425,0.005888637,0.005952527,0.2323749,0.1107375],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001015667,0.0005316885,0.7626481,0.0004487609,0.0001862521,0.001009747,0.001217484,0.06102799,0.002644665,0.003761705,0.166271,0.0001510508],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.6956346,0.004855492,0.008443577,0.01026509,0.002624869,0.0001510125,0.2237223,0.001520218,0.0527829],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.8813105,0.001697828,0.003907548,0.001050123,0.0003444743,0.0000955018,0.1040843,0.0001137861,0.007395911],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.03982658,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.07918954,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.04597599250222117,"score_gpt":0.3264760735636209,"score_spread":0.2805000810613997,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}