{"id":"W2981148441","doi":"10.1093/cid/ciz1015","title":"Ending the Epidemic in America Will Not Happen if the Status Quo Continues: Modeled Projections for Human Immunodeficiency Virus Incidence in 6 US Cities","year":2019,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Clinical Infectious Diseases","topic":"HIV/AIDS Research and Interventions","field":"Medicine","cited_by":35,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"AIDS Vancouver; Simon Fraser University","funders":"National Institute on Drug Abuse; National Institutes of Health","keywords":"Incidence (geometry); Status quo; Context (archaeology); Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV); Demography; Population; Virology; Geography; Medicine; Environmental health; Political science; Mathematics; Sociology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001106183,0.0006184994,0.0004580434,0.0003746056,0.0005213194,0.001350442,0.0008843063,0.001033769,0.001744074],"category_scores_gemma":[0.002543574,0.0004206548,0.0008887745,0.0005216169,0.0003936242,0.001065592,0.000816379,0.001073025,0.0002891788],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.002395085,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00226771,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.1710488,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.1534403,"domain_scores_codex":[0.999739,0.0001167988,0.000009791327,0.00005264627,0.00001728464,0.00006455537],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9993271,0.0001716201,0.0001096103,0.00003019927,0.0002200685,0.0001414838],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002510939,0.0001138151,0.09733804,0.00008045338,0.0002394497,0.0001809861,0.0002473162,0.8815976,0.0003336077,0.006796552,0.007054939,0.005766042],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001275512,0.0001891346,0.03284596,0.0001044763,0.0001848714,0.00008454348,0.000874036,0.9531089,0.0002835578,0.007342535,0.004782517,0.00007186337],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9756929,0.0004916759,0.006526229,0.003935236,0.0001018082,0.00007823748,0.006576907,0.0001180305,0.00647901],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9912459,0.0003615743,0.003501861,0.0002925048,0.00001591548,0.00009741242,0.002777218,0.00001833694,0.001689177],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.1710488,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.3401064,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.05796988861189395,"score_gpt":0.4333116303802507,"score_spread":0.3753417417683568,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}