{"id":"W2982306099","doi":"10.1289/ehp5668","title":"Predicted Northward Expansion of the Geographic Range of the Tick Vector <i>Amblyomma americanum</i> in North America under Future Climate Conditions","year":2019,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Environmental Health Perspectives","topic":"Vector-borne infectious diseases","field":"Immunology and Microbiology","cited_by":73,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Public Health Agency of Canada; Université du Québec à Montréal","funders":"Environmental Security Technology Certification Program; Public Health Agency; Public Health Agency of Canada; Université du Québec à Montréal; U.S. Department of Defense","keywords":"Amblyomma americanum; Tick; Range (aeronautics); Ehrlichiosis; Geography; Climate change; Northern Hemisphere; Ecology; Climatology; Ixodidae; Biology; Geology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0001860614,0.0002525137,0.0001895191,0.0002725327,0.0004023836,0.0005100279,0.0003618753,0.0003043401,0.00100591],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0005507019,0.0001612193,0.0004122,0.0002886912,0.0002154963,0.0002300869,0.0002299185,0.0002589266,0.0001214563],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.002141272,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.002133349,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.4239526,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.4381337,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9999235,0.00001355048,0.000003237259,0.00002708777,0.00001033608,0.00002228285],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9998112,0.00004528128,0.00003115454,0.000007697137,0.00006353961,0.00004118278],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001052508,0.00005011745,0.2801818,0.00003191613,0.00007359001,0.0001165205,0.0001060776,0.7122598,0.002098273,0.0004650559,0.001211349,0.003300204],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00006863408,0.00007525969,0.2395818,0.00002234894,0.00005871004,0.00008650994,0.0002875724,0.7572082,0.0005001655,0.0005548641,0.001528073,0.00002782849],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9963828,0.00007999656,0.001270677,0.0001053838,0.000006462753,0.00001033133,0.00073955,0.0000405305,0.001364304],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.998502,0.00004206542,0.0006361874,0.00001668185,0.000001939795,0.000009521644,0.0006076764,0.000003590805,0.0001803022],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.5760474,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.8429699,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.004179306350946108,"score_gpt":0.2191359549367896,"score_spread":0.2149566485858435,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}