{"id":"W2982587391","doi":"10.1038/s41558-019-0614-6","title":"Abrupt changes across the Arctic permafrost region endanger northern development","year":2019,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Nature Climate Change","topic":"Climate change and permafrost","field":"Earth and Planetary Sciences","cited_by":142,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"McGill University","funders":"","keywords":"Permafrost; Environmental science; Climate change; Surface runoff; Ecosystem; Arctic; Precipitation; Water content; Hydrology (agriculture); Climatology; Geology; Ecology; Geography; Meteorology; Oceanography","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0006287571,0.0001183495,0.0001816073,0.0007926082,0.001508913,0.00104921,0.0002002669,0.0002759397,0.001997756],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001468685,0.00008171351,0.0001560032,0.0009902626,0.0008095275,0.000491798,0.0009317837,0.0003395749,0.0001893406],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001949979,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.002477602,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.124694,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.3397328,"domain_scores_codex":[0.999761,0.00004919407,0.00001325918,0.00003613656,0.00003986491,0.0001006491],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9991769,0.0001385325,0.0002599192,0.00006539694,0.000187977,0.000171287],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001982887,0.00003110807,0.948631,0.00007646336,0.0001023811,0.0004147893,0.002267789,0.002593437,0.003247942,0.004014004,0.002890006,0.03553275],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000002300522,0.000009138449,0.9915216,0.00001853122,0.000009849737,0.00004533342,0.00118105,0.0002808106,0.0001704951,0.0005090078,0.006248035,0.000003875785],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9835209,0.0006966093,0.000356201,0.0007982115,0.00005248876,0.000006434563,0.0008313577,0.00001737165,0.01372039],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9984961,0.0002295589,0.0001515407,0.0001017932,0.00001629142,0.000004203435,0.0002356226,0.000005192466,0.000759658],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.124694,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.2479364,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03640201319648456,"score_gpt":0.2634339686850418,"score_spread":0.2270319554885572,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}