{"id":"W2984349943","doi":"10.1177/2292550319884392","title":"Are We Headed for a Recession?","year":2019,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Plastic Surgery","topic":"Firm Innovation and Growth","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"University of Ottawa; Kingston Health Sciences Centre","funders":"","keywords":"Recession; Economics; Keynesian economics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0003137748,0.0000838392,0.0002955135,0.0002376344,0.00003950464,0.0000298088,0.00006444896,0.00006461273,0.0008508833],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001756293,0.00009032383,0.00009302096,0.0002544148,0.00001200871,0.00009765204,0.00001462598,0.00005954215,0.001621468],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0000274972,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00001356213,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.000005150438,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.000001636705,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9991623,0.000004567908,0.0003867529,0.0002343432,0.00002267864,0.0001893748],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9967562,0.002694343,0.0003259766,0.0001552849,0.00002926918,0.00003891189],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00005463511,0.00006846286,0.8370224,0.0001444871,0.00002900674,0.000001593686,0.00004872506,0.00001943518,0.00004331426,0.0573164,0.1047128,0.0005387759],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0005976455,0.00002494837,0.3122697,0.0001272044,0.000003149398,0.000002476947,0.0000809358,0.003694715,0.0001599534,0.01509276,0.6675692,0.0003772693],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9747459,0.0006082715,0.005284989,0.003007173,0.01134832,0.0002252522,0.0002113337,0.00009044944,0.004478361],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9979484,0.00002910236,0.0001548604,0.000321577,0.0001270912,0.00003606393,0.00002427813,0.00001828789,0.001340328],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.5628564,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9991559,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.09333747780448393,"score_gpt":0.2450778287908763,"score_spread":0.1517403509863924,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}