{"id":"W2990732713","doi":"10.1515/rmeef-2019-0007","title":"Further Evidence on Export-Led Growth in the United Arab Emirates: Are Non-Oil Exports or Re-Exports the Key to Economic Growth?","year":2019,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Review of Middle East Economics and Finance","topic":"Global trade and economics","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":2,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"McMaster University","funders":"","keywords":"Cointegration; Causality (physics); Economics; Granger causality; Wald test; Johansen test; Error correction model; Short run; Econometrics; Vector autoregression; Order (exchange); Autoregressive model; Unit root; Macroeconomics; Monetary economics; Statistical hypothesis testing; Mathematics; Statistics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001471577,0.0003421106,0.0002591185,0.002037247,0.0002447858,0.001077618,0.0002041453,0.0003080945,0.004710095],"category_scores_gemma":[0.003093315,0.0001070813,0.0002714327,0.003612304,0.0005015495,0.0009051441,0.0005231695,0.0006555433,0.0003623654],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0004809569,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0007361331,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01389136,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.01487432,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9997281,0.00009220339,0.00002521821,0.00003320848,0.00008302624,0.00003814036],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9959937,0.001562572,0.0009189841,0.0001120834,0.001319872,0.00009273168],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000521416,0.000207857,0.7243223,0.0039985,0.0005785819,0.001931679,0.003043446,0.002202392,0.002527572,0.02478885,0.01332926,0.2225482],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00001788839,0.00007630308,0.9520174,0.001193513,0.0001641406,0.0002387339,0.005225462,0.001597195,0.001053978,0.001808717,0.03658919,0.00001739152],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.8679026,0.07097358,0.0009166523,0.009679742,0.0002587814,0.00001555572,0.001521311,0.00002629186,0.04870551],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9458011,0.04838241,0.0006821451,0.00041813,0.000262382,0.000006261431,0.001196499,0.00000775881,0.003243355],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.01389136,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.02762103,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.07611335622814457,"score_gpt":0.2323659869952573,"score_spread":0.1562526307671127,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}