{"id":"W2992737466","doi":"","title":"Gauging the odds of a double-dip recession amid signals and slowdowns","year":2010,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Economics Letters","topic":"Regional Development and Policy","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":4,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Recession; Unemployment; Economics; Odds; Pace; Pessimism; Debt; Quarter (Canadian coin); Gross domestic product; Economic recovery; Keynesian economics; Monetary economics; Macroeconomics; Logistic regression; History; Geography","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.005880609,0.0003383362,0.0003161513,0.001100066,0.00080555,0.003555615,0.0003051551,0.001650951,0.004518615],"category_scores_gemma":[0.03876255,0.0002417866,0.0001886339,0.001040529,0.0008851375,0.003016588,0.001823359,0.003201791,0.0009210452],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001934927,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0008934499,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01145354,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.01630694,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9975218,0.0007970521,0.0001205136,0.0003172107,0.0007697272,0.0004736569],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.97745,0.009621399,0.007051852,0.0006978085,0.00329114,0.001887738],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.002743938,0.0001892075,0.7473465,0.000270209,0.0002928556,0.000858176,0.003908959,0.006712228,0.003870997,0.03146456,0.07393751,0.1284049],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00009382231,0.001285053,0.8493369,0.0003787857,0.0001828646,0.0003299728,0.02627935,0.02034862,0.003270014,0.03067373,0.06765137,0.0001695407],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.8911453,0.001434284,0.003049399,0.04723573,0.0004377091,0.00004043548,0.001486644,0.0001394724,0.05503103],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9960671,0.0003760078,0.0004899663,0.001399603,0.0001613495,0.00001078629,0.0002314583,0.00002239594,0.00124127],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.01145354,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.03110003,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02061458507546489,"score_gpt":0.2807802505264723,"score_spread":0.2601656654510074,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}