{"id":"W2992835986","doi":"","title":"S-Curve Dynamics of Trade: Evidence from US- Canada Commodity Trade","year":2009,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Economic Issues Journal Articles","topic":"Market Dynamics and Volatility","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":14,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Economics; Balance of trade; Depreciation (economics); Commodity; Current account; Currency; International economics; Demand curve; Bilateral trade; Economic integration; International trade; Monetary economics; Exchange rate; Microeconomics","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0008898314,0.0001930984,0.0005871029,0.00008752482,0.0001444334,0.0001183041,0.0004383728,0.00008027518,0.0009107004],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0001302471,0.0002173557,0.0001604993,0.00008084,0.00006999292,0.0004743138,0.0000352079,0.0002984006,0.00001757747],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0006639505,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0001304437,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.1368562,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.2742268,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9980623,0.00005731136,0.00116301,0.0003155522,0.00005794013,0.0003438991],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9985631,0.0001935404,0.0006678056,0.0003726056,0.00001302435,0.0001899398],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001204388,0.0001632364,0.9571022,0.00001860645,0.0001372973,0.00002259215,0.0008194055,0.0008939716,0.00007152341,0.02349812,0.007198757,0.009953813],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0003846246,0.00009833061,0.5989017,0.0000439981,0.00001217656,0.0000152243,0.000112203,0.2727062,0.0002396044,0.1217857,0.005423551,0.000276719],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9794984,0.002691403,0.0005822509,0.01491869,0.0005261007,0.00009800219,0.0005642893,0.00001394349,0.001106888],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9980592,0.0005534944,0.0006675196,0.0004109565,0.0002118521,0.000001180301,0.00001353503,0.0000141371,0.00006810926],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.3582006,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.997153,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03033986119179739,"score_gpt":0.2367854530222711,"score_spread":0.2064455918304737,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}