{"id":"W2992882773","doi":"","title":"End of Desynchronized Global Growth","year":2012,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"˜The œjournal of business forecasting","topic":"Global Financial Crisis and Policies","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Economics; Recession; Emerging markets; China; Globalization; Global recession; Economic recovery; Business cycle; International trade; International economics; Development economics; Geography; Macroeconomics; Market economy","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001534204,0.001064967,0.000368991,0.001149748,0.001027403,0.004851525,0.000531022,0.001606592,0.01790234],"category_scores_gemma":[0.003109344,0.0001783409,0.0004316765,0.001462828,0.0008537284,0.004933257,0.003433297,0.002788797,0.006904587],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.002040917,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.002209391,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.005575516,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.005030461,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9992875,0.00007246435,0.00003683676,0.00008912478,0.0002904695,0.0002236724],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9986342,0.00009817536,0.0001742813,0.0001412545,0.000588066,0.0003640366],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"not_applicable","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002594975,0.00004429363,0.007228266,0.0005756696,0.00003020799,0.0004502204,0.0007845493,0.0009679229,0.001593013,0.08888901,0.6658782,0.2332992],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00001289727,0.00008935037,0.02061537,0.0002940196,0.00001232025,0.000208,0.00072463,0.0005061756,0.0006384471,0.01522825,0.9616452,0.00002538782],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.09058411,0.04713853,0.0150247,0.2166621,0.03066882,0.0002761764,0.04087222,0.007211043,0.5515622],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.711387,0.05266626,0.01472904,0.0503067,0.007713839,0.0005128505,0.04597798,0.001548923,0.1151574],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.01790234,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.05988932,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.04500400454864693,"score_gpt":0.2270190736974956,"score_spread":0.1820150691488486,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}