{"id":"W2993042274","doi":"","title":"Export-Led Recovery in Europe under a Falling Euro","year":2005,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"˜The œjournal of business forecasting","topic":"German Economic Analysis & Policies","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Quarter (Canadian coin); Economics; Index (typography); Seasonal adjustment; Consumer confidence index; Agricultural economics; Recession; Demographic economics; Economy; Geography; Macroeconomics","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001776861,0.000191011,0.0005801871,0.0005854334,0.0001109053,0.0001027161,0.000444774,0.0000634325,0.000153803],"category_scores_gemma":[0.000269022,0.0001750572,0.0001409386,0.0009125581,0.00006395145,0.0005983377,0.00009314636,0.000300572,0.0001629638],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0001646473,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0000632359,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0001474957,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0002999147,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9977424,0.00003742017,0.001599564,0.000191237,0.00005889491,0.0003704774],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9975895,0.0001883025,0.001690918,0.0002516715,0.0002153308,0.00006429855],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001888222,0.0002778014,0.1622998,0.00007091418,0.000394611,0.00007438062,0.003317907,0.7968864,0.0002516826,0.005131626,0.001967537,0.02913845],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.004648713,0.0001951197,0.5722548,0.0005535724,0.0001931428,0.001607416,0.001857218,0.3135822,0.0001521227,0.0228748,0.08036514,0.001715778],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9764544,0.00109073,0.0135883,0.001323548,0.000346879,0.00007553287,0.000005665216,0.00001103461,0.007103935],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9969509,0.0002524968,0.0009441228,0.0005582765,0.0005359329,0.000001634726,0.000002116463,0.00004207598,0.0007124027],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.4833043,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.7138625,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.0559540984678073,"score_gpt":0.2177440127071407,"score_spread":0.1617899142393334,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}