{"id":"W2993124772","doi":"10.1016/j.epidem.2019.100382","title":"Temperature-dependent variation in the extrinsic incubation period elevates the risk of vector-borne disease emergence","year":2019,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Epidemics","topic":"Mosquito-borne diseases and control","field":"Medicine","cited_by":82,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Toronto","funders":"Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada","keywords":"Incubation period; Incubation; Vector (molecular biology); Temperate climate; Biology; Transmission (telecommunications); Range (aeronautics); Dengue fever; Disease transmission; Disease; Variation (astronomy); Ecology; Immunology; Medicine; Virology; Internal medicine","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001021483,0.000130089,0.0002309804,0.00004801953,0.00006559399,0.00001771971,0.0002008592,0.00006356336,0.000183788],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001360712,0.00007213379,0.0001298633,0.0002582376,0.00003105554,0.00008491675,0.00003083612,0.0002787671,0.00002881522],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00003878191,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0001108097,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.000176396,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00003907148,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9985297,0.0003135404,0.0003881631,0.0002348337,0.0003503101,0.0001833961],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9986233,0.0003752177,0.0002234969,0.0005981093,0.0001093683,0.00007049504],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0008748224,0.0003843273,0.9527121,0.000188575,0.0001265653,0.000013984,0.002356088,0.002127058,0.01094269,0.02667158,0.0009005336,0.002701732],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0008146031,0.00008741888,0.9846373,0.00005180305,0.0002187893,0.000002243482,0.0005127998,0.01205671,0.00007383378,0.001191801,0.0002700467,0.00008263665],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9894381,0.002156222,0.0001725412,0.006924109,0.0002435786,0.0008750929,0.00004082264,0.00001740903,0.0001321516],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.998383,0.0004326198,0.00002377907,0.0007218395,0.0002094897,0.00006156274,0.00003628545,0.00001357682,0.0001178518],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.03192526,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.2941531,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.008251028593380614,"score_gpt":0.2525356433850504,"score_spread":0.2442846147916698,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}