{"id":"W2994290421","doi":"","title":"Slow, Arduous Recovery: Structural Problems Abound","year":2011,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"The journal of business forecasting","topic":"Economic Theory and Policy","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Economics; Quarter (Canadian coin); Economy; Economic policy","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001401369,0.0001805285,0.0004419895,0.0002245708,0.0002234639,0.00007812748,0.0004823517,0.00008487003,0.0004200814],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0001331906,0.0001484344,0.0001483514,0.0002899688,0.0001132384,0.000556237,0.00006852455,0.0002711184,0.0001060175],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00007835371,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00004857287,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0004182663,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00008752744,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9984294,0.00003100127,0.001025695,0.0001556887,0.00002557684,0.0003326916],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9978784,0.0001196258,0.001542356,0.0002501599,0.0001298768,0.00007960253],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.002112947,0.0003948731,0.222419,0.0007623802,0.001783979,0.0002113666,0.04037696,0.02615893,0.0003501495,0.5368375,0.003847551,0.1647443],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.001586505,0.0003034598,0.05443558,0.0002074962,0.0000665855,0.002169641,0.0004319916,0.005284847,0.0001085578,0.9142009,0.02051313,0.0006913039],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9658876,0.001210273,0.003874234,0.0001185463,0.00162459,0.000122348,0.00003405647,0.00001455878,0.02711382],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9975962,0.00007911193,0.0008353899,0.0001656071,0.0006572711,0.000002031491,0.000001877929,0.00003307091,0.0006294465],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.3773634,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.6052979,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.07546581239525472,"score_gpt":0.2102160331811797,"score_spread":0.134750220785925,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}