{"id":"W2994360366","doi":"","title":"Soft Landing to Long-Term Trend","year":2006,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"˜The œjournal of business forecasting","topic":"Global Financial Crisis and Policies","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Economics; Recession; World economy; Business cycle; Economic expansion; Forecast period; Global recession; Commodity; Quarter (Canadian coin); China; Real gross domestic product; Inflation (cosmology); Macroeconomics; Geography; Finance; Production (economics)","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.002204969,0.000737137,0.0004284254,0.0030529,0.001466692,0.006830111,0.001060173,0.001829793,0.04757664],"category_scores_gemma":[0.01610531,0.0002455033,0.0004718393,0.004820707,0.00190786,0.01156916,0.00328354,0.003327725,0.01277982],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.002170802,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001474853,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.005488283,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.005209175,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9985824,0.0003023978,0.0001110647,0.0003186552,0.0005233464,0.0001622238],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9939779,0.001436773,0.001180215,0.000720709,0.002154223,0.0005302526],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"design_other","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002083855,0.0000644266,0.02346899,0.0006661268,0.00006677619,0.0007472871,0.001467728,0.002267313,0.0006188572,0.3008218,0.3175509,0.3520513],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00001617635,0.0001103958,0.01392679,0.00146094,0.00004880405,0.0004579038,0.002197116,0.004535032,0.0006497967,0.2744547,0.7020577,0.00008470127],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.07504836,0.05909637,0.1043673,0.1781785,0.04820716,0.0001729744,0.01634702,0.003486219,0.5150962],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.6761529,0.04355117,0.02611509,0.02782235,0.0263995,0.0002960866,0.01219265,0.002096117,0.1853742],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.04757664,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.1591597,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.04345869379926828,"score_gpt":0.2297905572055914,"score_spread":0.1863318634063231,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}