{"id":"W2995354239","doi":"10.1098/rsbl.2019.0633","title":"The dynamics underlying avian extinction trajectories forecast a wave of extinctions","year":2019,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Biology Letters","topic":"Ecology and Vegetation Dynamics Studies","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":52,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Simon Fraser University","funders":"","keywords":"Extinction (optical mineralogy); IUCN Red List; Biology; Extinction event; Ecology; Endangered species; Critically endangered; Extinct species; Population; Demography; Evolutionary biology; Habitat; Extant taxon; Paleontology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.000601737,0.0002217388,0.000187023,0.0005151248,0.0002570064,0.000952312,0.0003853657,0.0006188703,0.002519473],"category_scores_gemma":[0.002906472,0.0002268966,0.0003826507,0.0002501336,0.0003258599,0.000821137,0.0003495337,0.0004960418,0.0004505854],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0006391372,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0003473751,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.02832332,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.01900434,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9999303,0.00001668025,0.000004048457,0.00002483515,0.000008351331,0.00001583635],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9994451,0.0001872998,0.0001619729,0.00003670418,0.00009897105,0.00006994959],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00007684626,0.00003704712,0.2715446,0.00001707801,0.00006589988,0.00009555458,0.0001245998,0.7154744,0.0009076053,0.003398982,0.001109543,0.007147891],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000008297431,0.00003468081,0.0530232,0.00001358309,0.00001391727,0.00005030897,0.0001009268,0.9437749,0.0001194865,0.002384503,0.0004641737,0.000012024],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9868746,0.00005796409,0.01000485,0.0002725092,0.00001324339,0.00001136301,0.000375937,0.00005892183,0.002330477],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9981232,0.00003436438,0.0008898889,0.00001708589,0.000003052291,0.000004779171,0.0001843261,0.00001087728,0.0007323239],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.02832332,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.05631691,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01746150713879164,"score_gpt":0.2359458928803712,"score_spread":0.2184843857415796,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}