{"id":"W2995587262","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3360686","title":"Multi-Year PEAD: Predictive and Feedback Insights","year":2019,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Auditing, Earnings Management, Governance","field":"Business, Management and Accounting","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"McMaster University","funders":"","keywords":"Econometrics; Economics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.005376448,0.0004596224,0.0009449854,0.002624819,0.0006860171,0.003873425,0.001584534,0.001573928,0.007141714],"category_scores_gemma":[0.03961455,0.0004838871,0.0006111303,0.002722027,0.0006411799,0.003818874,0.002105712,0.001804303,0.001396114],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.000974488,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0009777676,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01745722,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.01826371,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9990294,0.0002131732,0.00005111816,0.0002977006,0.0002142556,0.0001944249],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9687914,0.02154019,0.003502967,0.002685119,0.002119991,0.001360282],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0008098116,0.0006223032,0.7885267,0.000122974,0.0003143467,0.0006582498,0.0007777232,0.0954744,0.0008498093,0.01690577,0.01304206,0.08189576],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00004867166,0.000242164,0.4152234,0.00007498662,0.0001445536,0.0001822134,0.0008479511,0.5446323,0.001138518,0.03060544,0.006747968,0.0001118872],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"other","genre_scores_codex":[0.9506338,0.001254416,0.02344651,0.003324542,0.0002555149,0.00006543018,0.004367688,0.0005705967,0.01608154],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9960098,0.0001538703,0.0007279305,0.00007002593,0.00005226864,0.00001106381,0.0007863959,0.00003148234,0.002157199],"genre_candidate":"other","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.01745722,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.03471118,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.004641606752092326,"score_gpt":0.189719502034375,"score_spread":0.1850778952822827,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}